See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 27, 2020, at 8:04 PM

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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 24-26, 2020
657 LV
Oct 24-26, 2020
657LVSmith
53%

Smith

53%

Lewis

39%
39%
LewisSmith+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 17-20, 2020
840 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
840LVSmith
54%

Smith

54%

Lewis

43%

Steinberg

1%

O'Connor

1%
MoreSmith+11
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 16-20, 2020
625 LV
Oct 16-20, 2020
625LVSmith
43%

Smith

43%

Lewis

42%
42%
LewisSmith+1

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021LVSmith
48%

Smith

48%

Lewis

44%

O'Connor

3%

Steinberg

1%
MoreSmith+4

Oct. 8, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 1-6, 2020
929 LV
Oct 1-6, 2020
929LVSmith
44%

Smith

44%

Lewis

37%
37%
LewisSmith+7

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 21-23, 2020
800 LV
Sep 21-23, 2020
800LVSmith
49%

Smith

49%

Lewis

41%
41%
LewisSmith+8
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