See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 29, 2020, at 1:01 PM

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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 21-23, 2020
800 LV
Sep 21-23, 2020
800LVSmith
49%

Smith

49%

Lewis

41%
41%
LewisSmith+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 25, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 20-24, 2020
500 LV
Sep 20-24, 2020
500LVSmith
45%

Smith

45%

Lewis

35%

O'Connor

2%

Steinberg

1%
MoreSmith+10

Sept. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 12-17, 2020
718 LV
Sep 12-17, 2020
718LVSmith
51%

Smith

51%

Lewis

36%
36%
LewisSmith+15

Sept. 13, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,031 LV
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,031LVSmith
47%

Smith

47%

Lewis

40%
40%
LewisSmith+7

Sept. 12, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Sep 8-10, 2020
814 LV
Sep 8-10, 2020
814LVSmith
49%

Smith

49%

Lewis

40%
40%
LewisSmith+9
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