UPDATED Jan. 20, 2021, at 11:43 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVSmith
50%

Smith

50%

Lewis

39%
39%
LewisSmith+11
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,259 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,259LVSmith
54%

Smith

54%

Lewis

44%
44%
LewisSmith+10
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
430 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
430LVSmith
55%

Smith

55%

Lewis

46%
46%
LewisSmith+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 25-30, 2020
1,138 LV
Oct 25-30, 2020
1,138LVSmith
53%

Smith

53%

Lewis

44%
44%
LewisSmith+9
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 10-29, 2020
372 A
Oct 10-29, 2020
372ASmith
53%

Smith

53%

Lewis

36%
36%
LewisSmith+17

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 29-30, 2020
770 V
Oct 29-30, 2020
770VSmith
51%

Smith

51%

Lewis

42%
42%
LewisSmith+9

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 23-27, 2020
649 LV
Oct 23-27, 2020
649LVSmith
45%

Smith

45%

Lewis

42%
42%
LewisSmith+3

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 24-26, 2020
657 LV
Oct 24-26, 2020
657LVSmith
53%

Smith

53%

Lewis

39%
39%
LewisSmith+14
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