UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Mississippi Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate, Mississippi, 2020

562LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
562LV
Espy
47%
Espy
47%

Espy

47%

Hyde-Smith

50%

Edwards

3%
50%
Hyde-SmithHyde-Smith+3

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. Senate, Mississippi, 2020

507LV
Oct.23-26
507LV
Espy
44%
Espy
44%

Espy

44%

Hyde-Smith

52%

Edwards

2%
52%
Hyde-SmithHyde-Smith+8

Aug. 29, 2020

U.S. Senate, Mississippi, 2020

600LV
Aug.28-30
600LV
Espy
40%
Espy
40%

Espy

40%

Hyde-Smith

41%
41%
Hyde-Smith  Hyde-Smith+1

Aug. 8, 2020

U.S. Senate, Mississippi, 2020

600LV
Jul.30-Aug.9
600LV
Espy
42%
Espy
42%

Espy

42%

Hyde-Smith

47%

Edwards

3%
47%
Hyde-SmithHyde-Smith+5

May 27, 2020

U.S. Senate, Mississippi, 2020

871V
May 27-28
871V
Espy
41%
Espy
41%

Espy

41%

Hyde-Smith

49%
49%
Hyde-Smith  Hyde-Smith+8
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