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Who’s ahead in the Missouri Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

746LV
Nov.4-7
746LV
Busch Valentine
40%
Busch Valentine
40%

Busch Valentine

40%

Schmitt

55%
55%
Schmitt  Schmitt+15

Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,079LV
Oct.30-Nov.1
1,079LV
Busch Valentine
42%
Busch Valentine
42%

Busch Valentine

42%

Schmitt

53%

Dine

2%
53%
SchmittSchmitt+11
791LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
791LV
Busch Valentine
41%
Busch Valentine
41%

Busch Valentine

41%

Schmitt

50%
50%
Schmitt  Schmitt+9

Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Oct.26-28
1,000LV
Busch Valentine
40%
Busch Valentine
40%

Busch Valentine

40%

Schmitt

54%

Dine

3%

Venable

1%
54%
SchmittSchmitt+14

Oct. 24, 2022

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,011LV
Oct.24-25
1,011LV
Busch Valentine
42%
Busch Valentine
42%

Busch Valentine

42%

Schmitt

51%

Dine

2%

Venable

1%
51%
SchmittSchmitt+9

Sept. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,160LV
Sep.23-27
1,160LV
Busch Valentine
38%
Busch Valentine
38%

Busch Valentine

38%

Schmitt

49%
49%
Schmitt  Schmitt+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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