UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 20, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Oct 3-4, 2021
600 LV
Oct 3-4, 2021
600LVKunce
40%

Kunce

40%

Greitens

47%
47%
GreitensGreitens+7
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Oct 3-4, 2021
600 LV
Oct 3-4, 2021
600LVSifton
40%

Sifton

40%

Greitens

46%
46%
GreitensGreitens+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

April 18, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
42%

Nixon

42%

Schmitt

50%
50%
SchmittSchmitt+8
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
44%

Nixon

44%

Greitens

48%
48%
GreitensGreitens+4
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
39%

Sifton

39%

Schmitt

51%
51%
SchmittSchmitt+12
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
42%

Sifton

42%

Greitens

49%
49%
GreitensGreitens+7

Jan. 19, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Jan 10-12, 2021
571 LV
Jan 10-12, 2021
571LVKander
44%

Kander

44%

Blunt

45%
45%
BluntBlunt+1

Nov. 8, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Oct 5-6, 2018
Oct 5-6, 2018
McCaskill
42%

McCaskill

42%

Hawley

44%
44%
HawleyHawley+2

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
45%

McCaskill

45%

Hawley

46%
46%
HawleyHawley+1
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