See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 8, 2020, at 8:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 6, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
45%

McCaskill

45%

Hawley

46%
46%
HawleyHawley+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Nov 2-4, 2018
600 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
44%

McCaskill

44%

Hawley

47%
47%
HawleyHawley+2
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,791 LV
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,791LVMcCaskill
44%

McCaskill

44%

Hawley

48%
48%
HawleyHawley+4
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Nov 1-3, 2018
732 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
732LVMcCaskill
46%

McCaskill

46%

Hawley

49%
49%
HawleyHawley+3
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
920 RV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
920RVMcCaskill
46%

McCaskill

46%

Hawley

43%

Campbell

3%

Crain

2%
MoreMcCaskill+3
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
47%

McCaskill

47%

Hawley

44%

Campbell

3%

Crain

2%
MoreMcCaskill+3
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
920 RV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
920RVMcCaskill
50%

McCaskill

50%

Hawley

46%
46%
HawleyMcCaskill+4
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
50%

McCaskill

50%

Hawley

47%
47%
HawleyMcCaskill+3

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Nov 1-3, 2018
600 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
46%

McCaskill

46%

Hawley

46%
46%
HawleyEven

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Nov 1-2, 2018
1,424 LV
Nov 1-2, 2018
1,424LVMcCaskill
47%
Tie

McCaskill

47%

Hawley

47%

Campbell

1%

Crain

1%

O'Dear

1%
MoreEven
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
45%

McCaskill

45%

Hawley

46%
46%
HawleyHawley+1
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400 LV
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400LVMcCaskill
46%

McCaskill

46%

Hawley

44%
44%
HawleyMcCaskill+2

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600LVMcCaskill
46%

McCaskill

46%

Hawley

43%
43%
HawleyMcCaskill+3
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