See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 11:27 AM

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 26-27, 2020
886 V
Oct 26-27, 2020
886VBullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 23, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+3

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

48%
48%
DainesDaines+1

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+2

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615 LV
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615LVBullock
49%

Bullock

49%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+2
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