UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

50%
50%
DainesDaines+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVBullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+1

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 26-27, 2020
886 V
Oct 26-27, 2020
886VBullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+1

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+3

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

48%
48%
DainesDaines+1
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