See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 7, 2020, at 9:58 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jun 17-26, 2020
517 RV
Jun 17-26, 2020
517RVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

43%
43%
DainesBullock+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

May 5, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Apr 10-27, 2020
459 LV
Apr 10-27, 2020
459LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

39%
39%
DainesBullock+7

March 19, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Mar 12-13, 2020
903 V
Mar 12-13, 2020
903VBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesEven

Nov. 6, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Nov 2-5, 2018
953 LV
Nov 2-5, 2018
953LVTester
50%

Tester

50%

Rosendale

49%
49%
RosendaleTester+1
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Nov 1-5, 2018
500 LV
Nov 1-5, 2018
500LVTester
50%

Tester

50%

Rosendale

42%
42%
RosendaleTester+8

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Nov 2-4, 2018
879 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
879LVTester
46%

Tester

46%

Rosendale

49%

Breckenridge

3%
MoreRosendale+3
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 31-Nov 4, 2018
500 LV
Oct 31-Nov 4, 2018
500LVTester
49%

Tester

49%

Rosendale

43%
43%
RosendaleTester+6
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