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Who’s ahead in the Nevada Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Cortez Masto
48%
Cortez Masto
48%

Cortez Masto

48%

Laxalt

49%
49%
Laxalt  Laxalt+1
1,100LV
Nov.2-6
1,100LV
Cortez Masto
47%
Cortez Masto
47%

Cortez Masto

47%

Laxalt

49%

Scott

2%
49%
LaxaltLaxalt+2

Nov. 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

550LV
Nov.4
550LV
Cortez Masto
44%
Cortez Masto
44%

Cortez Masto

44%

Laxalt

50%
50%
Laxalt  Laxalt+6

Nov. 2, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

501LV
Nov.2-3
501LV
Cortez Masto
45%
Cortez Masto
45%

Cortez Masto

45%

Laxalt

44%
44%
Laxalt  Cortez Masto+1

Nov. 1, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Nov.1-2
600LV
Cortez Masto
43%
Cortez Masto
43%

Cortez Masto

43%

Laxalt

46%
46%
Laxalt  Laxalt+3

Oct. 28, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,000LV
Oct.26-29
2,000LV
Cortez Masto
46%
Cortez Masto
46%

Cortez Masto

46%

Laxalt

51%

Lindemann

1%

Rubinson

1%

Scott

1%
51%
LaxaltLaxalt+5
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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