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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,056LV
Nov.5-6
1,056LV
Hassan
48%
Hassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Bolduc

45%

Kauffman

2%
45%
BolducHassan+4
2,077LV
Nov.2-6
2,077LV
Hassan
50%
Hassan
50%

Hassan

50%

Bolduc

48%

Kauffman

1%
48%
BolducHassan+2

Nov. 4, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

700LV
Nov.5
700LV
Hassan
49%
Hassan
49%

Hassan

49%

Bolduc

48%
48%
Bolduc  Hassan+2
725LV
Nov.2-5
725LV
Hassan
48%
Hassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Bolduc

48%
48%
Bolduc  Even
1,995LV
Nov.2-5
1,995LV
Hassan
50%
Hassan
50%

Hassan

50%

Bolduc

47%

Kauffman

2%
47%
BolducHassan+3

Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,241LV
Oct.30-Nov.1
1,241LV
Hassan
46%
Hassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Bolduc

47%

Kauffman

4%
47%
BolducBolduc+1
850LV
Oct.30-Nov.1
850LV
Hassan
50%
Hassan
50%

Hassan

50%

Bolduc

46%

Kauffman

3%
46%
BolducHassan+5

Oct. 28, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,541LV
Oct.28-29
1,541LV
Hassan
47%
Hassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Bolduc

48%

Kauffman

2%
48%
BolducBolduc+1

Oct. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,098LV
Oct.25-26
1,098LV
Hassan
45%
Hassan
45%

Hassan

45%

Bolduc

45%

Kauffman

3%
45%
BolducEven
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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