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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2020

1,180LV
Oct.23-29
1,180LV
Lujan
52%
Lujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

44%

Walsh

3%
44%
RonchettiLujan+8

Oct. 16, 2020

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2020

600LV
Oct.14-17
600LV
Lujan
54%
Lujan
54%

Lujan

54%

Ronchetti

43%
43%
Ronchetti  Lujan+11
600LV
Oct.14-17
600LV
Lujan
52%
Lujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

5%
41%
RonchettiLujan+11

Sept. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2020

886LV
Sep.30-Oct.1
886LV
Lujan
51%
Lujan
51%

Lujan

51%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

3%
41%
RonchettiLujan+10

Sept. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2020

1,123LV
Aug.26-Sep.2
1,123LV
Lujan
49%
Lujan
49%

Lujan

49%

Ronchetti

40%

Walsh

4%
40%
RonchettiLujan+9

June 12, 2020

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