See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 27, 2020, at 7:07 PM

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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 20, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
54%

Lujan

54%

Ronchetti

43%
43%
RonchettiLujan+11
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

5%
MoreLujan+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 7, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886 LV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886LVLujan
51%

Lujan

51%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+10

Sept. 7, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Aug 26-Sep 2, 2020
1,123 LV
Aug 26-Sep 2, 2020
1,123LVLujan
49%

Lujan

49%

Ronchetti

40%

Walsh

4%
MoreLujan+9

June 16, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jun 12-13, 2020
740 V
Jun 12-13, 2020
740VLujan
48%

Lujan

48%

Ronchetti

34%
34%
RonchettiLujan+14

Jan. 6, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jan 3-6, 2020
967 RV
Jan 3-6, 2020
967RVLujan
54%

Lujan

54%

Clarkson

35%
35%
ClarksonLujan+19
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