We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in! See our final 2020 national polling average.

UPDATED Nov. 3, 2020, at 9:42 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

44%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
54%

Lujan

54%

Ronchetti

43%
43%
RonchettiLujan+11
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

5%
MoreLujan+11

Oct. 7, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886 LV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886LVLujan
51%

Lujan

51%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+10

Sept. 7, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Aug 26-Sep 2, 2020
1,123 LV
Aug 26-Sep 2, 2020
1,123LVLujan
49%

Lujan

49%

Ronchetti

40%

Walsh

4%
MoreLujan+9

June 16, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jun 12-13, 2020
740 V
Jun 12-13, 2020
740VLujan
48%

Lujan

48%

Ronchetti

34%
34%
RonchettiLujan+14
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