UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 18, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 28-29, 2018
500
Jul 28-29, 2018
500Heinrich
39%

Heinrich

39%

Rich

25%

Johnson

24%
MoreHeinrich+14
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 15-17, 2018
500
Jul 15-17, 2018
500Heinrich
38%

Heinrich

38%

Rich

25%

Johnson

24%
MoreHeinrich+13

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 15, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 28-29, 2018
900 LV
Jul 28-29, 2018
900LVHeinrich
40%

Heinrich

40%

Johnson

42%
42%
JohnsonJohnson+2

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

44%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+8

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
54%

Lujan

54%

Ronchetti

43%
43%
RonchettiLujan+11
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 14-17, 2020
600 LV
Oct 14-17, 2020
600LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

5%
MoreLujan+11

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886 LV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
886LVLujan
51%

Lujan

51%

Ronchetti

41%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+10
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