UPDATED Sep. 30, 2022, at 7:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

650LV
Sep.24-26
650LV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

Budd

44%

Bray

1%

Hoh

1%
44%
BuddEven

Sept. 22, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

731LV
Sep.20-23
731LV
Beasley
41%
Beasley
41%

Beasley

41%

Budd

41%

Hoh

2%

Bray

2%
41%
BuddEven

Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

586LV
Sep.17-20
586LV
Beasley
49%
Beasley
49%

Beasley

49%

Budd

48%
48%
Budd  Beasley+1
800LV
Sep.12-20
800LV
Beasley
46%
Beasley
46%

Beasley

46%

Budd

46%
46%
Budd  Even

Sept. 15, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.15-16
1,000LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

46%

Bray

2%

Hoh

1%
46%
BuddBudd+2

Sept. 9, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,020LV
Sep.7-10
1,020LV
Beasley
46%
Beasley
46%

Beasley

46%

Budd

49%

Hoh

1%

Bray

0%
49%
BuddBudd+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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