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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 15, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500RV
May 12-16
500RV
Beasley
45%
Beasley
45%

Beasley

45%

Budd

46%
46%
Budd  Budd+1

May 8, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000RV
May 7-9
1,000RV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

McCrory

39%
39%
McCrory  Beasley+5
1,000RV
May 7-9
1,000RV
Beasley
41%
Beasley
41%

Beasley

41%

Budd

48%
48%
Budd  Budd+7

May 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Apr.28-May 4
800LV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

McCrory

45%
45%
McCrory  McCrory+1
800LV
Apr.28-May 4
800LV
Beasley
45%
Beasley
45%

Beasley

45%

Budd

45%
45%
Budd  Even

April 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,047LV
Apr.2-4
1,047LV
Beasley
42%
Beasley
42%

Beasley

42%

Walker

47%
47%
Walker  Walker+5
1,047LV
Apr.2-4
1,047LV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

Eastman

44%
44%
Eastman  Eastman+1
1,047LV
Apr.2-4
1,047LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

McCrory

41%
41%
McCrory  Beasley+2
1,047LV
Apr.2-4
1,047LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

50%
50%
Budd  Budd+7

March 30, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

513LV
Mar.30-31
513LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

45%
45%
Budd  Budd+2
513LV
Mar.30-31
513LV
Beasley
41%
Beasley
41%

Beasley

41%

McCrory

41%
41%
McCrory  Even
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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