See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 2:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 26-27, 2020
614 LV
Oct 26-27, 2020
614LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

44%
44%
TillisCunningham+2
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 24-26, 2020
800 LV
Oct 24-26, 2020
800LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

42%
42%
TillisCunningham+7
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 22-25, 2020
504 LV
Oct 22-25, 2020
504LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

43%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 26-27, 2020
937 V
Oct 26-27, 2020
937VCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

44%
44%
TillisCunningham+3
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 21-27, 2020
647 LV
Oct 21-27, 2020
647LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

47%
47%
TillisCunningham+1

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-22, 2020
1,098 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
1,098LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

49%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreTillis+2

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,022 LV
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,022LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+6

Oct. 23, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-21, 2020
800 LV
Oct 20-21, 2020
800LVCunningham
45%

Cunningham

45%

Tillis

45%
45%
TillisEven
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 16-19, 2020
732 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
732LVCunningham
43%

Cunningham

43%

Tillis

38%

Bray

4%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+5
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 15-18, 2020
929 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
929LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

42%

Hayes

1%

Bray

1%
MoreCunningham+4
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