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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,098LV
Nov.4-6
1,098LV
Beasley
45%
Beasley
45%

Beasley

45%

Budd

51%
51%
Budd  Budd+6
1,322LV
Nov.2-6
1,322LV
Beasley
45%
Beasley
45%

Beasley

45%

Budd

51%

Bray

2%

Hoh

1%
51%
BuddBudd+6

Nov. 2, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,183LV
Nov.1-3
1,183LV
Beasley
47%
Beasley
47%

Beasley

47%

Budd

52%

Bray

1%

Hoh

0%
52%
BuddBudd+5
250LV
Aug.5-Nov.3
250LV
Beasley
47%
Beasley
47%

Beasley

47%

Budd

48%

Hoh

4%

Bray

1%
48%
BuddBudd+1

Nov. 1, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,140LV
Nov.1-2
1,140LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

50%

Hoh

1%

Bray

1%
50%
BuddBudd+7
674LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
674LV
Beasley
49%
Beasley
49%

Beasley

49%

Budd

49%
49%
Budd  Even

Oct. 29, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

724RV
Oct.27-30
724RV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

44%

Bray

4%

Hoh

1%
44%
BuddBudd+1

Oct. 28, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Oct.27-29
1,000LV
Beasley
46%
Beasley
46%

Beasley

46%

Budd

51%

Bray

2%

Hoh

1%
51%
BuddBudd+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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