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Who’s ahead in the North Dakota Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, North Dakota, 2018

851RV
Oct.27-30
851RV
Heitkamp
42%
Heitkamp
42%

Heitkamp

42%

Cramer

49%
49%
Cramer  Cramer+7
789LV
Oct.27-30
789LV
Heitkamp
42%
Heitkamp
42%

Heitkamp

42%

Cramer

51%
51%
Cramer  Cramer+9
1,498LV
Oct.23-24
1,498LV
Heitkamp
46%
Heitkamp
46%

Heitkamp

46%

Cramer

55%
55%
Cramer  Cramer+9
650LV
Oct.12-19
650LV
Heitkamp
40%
Heitkamp
40%

Heitkamp

40%

Cramer

56%
56%
Cramer  Cramer+16
801RV
Sep.29-Oct.2
801RV
Heitkamp
41%
Heitkamp
41%

Heitkamp

41%

Cramer

50%
50%
Cramer  Cramer+9
704LV
Sep.29-Oct.2
704LV
Heitkamp
41%
Heitkamp
41%

Heitkamp

41%

Cramer

53%
53%
Cramer  Cramer+12
650LV
Sep.17-27
650LV
Heitkamp
41%
Heitkamp
41%

Heitkamp

41%

Cramer

51%
51%
Cramer  Cramer+10
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