UPDATED Oct. 3, 2022, at 9:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in the Ohio Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 21, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

642LV
Sep.18-22
642LV
Ryan
46%
Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

43%
43%
Vance  Ryan+3

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,200RV
Sep.12-15
1,200RV
Ryan
45%
Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

46%
46%
Vance  Vance+1
855LV
Sep.12-15
855LV
Ryan
48%
Ryan
48%

Ryan

48%

Vance

45%
45%
Vance  Ryan+3

Sept. 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.12-13
1,000LV
Ryan
40%
Ryan
40%

Ryan

40%

Vance

44%
44%
Vance  Vance+4
780LV
Sep.10-13
780LV
Ryan
45%
Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

48%
48%
Vance  Vance+3

Sept. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600RV
Sep.6-11
600RV
Ryan
46%
Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

43%
43%
Vance  Ryan+3

Sept. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.5-7
500LV
Ryan
47%
Ryan
47%

Ryan

47%

Vance

46%
46%
Vance  Ryan+1
1,209LV
Sep.2-7
1,209LV
Ryan
47%
Ryan
47%

Ryan

47%

Vance

42%
42%
Vance  Ryan+5
831LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
831LV
Ryan
45%
Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

39%
39%
Vance  Ryan+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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