UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Ohio?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 7, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200LVRyan
37%

Ryan

37%

Mandel

41%
41%
MandelMandel+4
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200LVRyan
38%

Ryan

38%

Timken

36%
36%
TimkenRyan+2
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200LVRyan
37%

Ryan

37%

Vance

36%
36%
VanceRyan+1
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200RVRyan
36%

Ryan

36%

Mandel

38%
38%
MandelMandel+2
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200RVRyan
36%

Ryan

36%

Timken

33%
33%
TimkenRyan+3
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,200RVRyan
36%

Ryan

36%

Vance

33%
33%
VanceRyan+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 21, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
37%

Ryan

37%

Vance

39%
39%
VanceVance+2
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
38%

Ryan

38%

Timken

41%
41%
TimkenTimken+3
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
38%

Ryan

38%

Mandel

42%
42%
MandelMandel+4
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
40%

Acton

40%

Vance

38%
38%
VanceActon+2
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
40%

Acton

40%

Timken

40%
40%
TimkenEven
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
42%

Acton

42%

Mandel

41%
41%
MandelActon+1

Dec. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485 RV
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485RVBrown
45%

Brown

45%

Renacci

41%
41%
RenacciBrown+4

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Nov 2-4, 2018
923 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
923LVBrown
53%

Brown

53%

Renacci

43%
43%
RenacciBrown+10

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ohio Ohio
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVBrown
53%

Brown

53%

Renacci

39%
39%
RenacciBrown+14
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