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Who’s ahead in the Oklahoma Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

682LV
Nov.5-6
682LV
K. Horn
41%
K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

53%

Woods

2%

Murphy

1%
53%
MullinMullin+12
682LV
Nov.5-6
682LV
M. Horn
36%
M. Horn
36%

M. Horn

36%

Lankford

56%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

1%
56%
LankfordLankford+20

Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

501LV
Oct.26-28
501LV
K. Horn
41%
K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

52%

Murphy

2%

Woods

2%
52%
MullinMullin+11
501LV
Oct.26-28
501LV
M. Horn
38%
M. Horn
38%

M. Horn

38%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

4%

Blevins

3%
52%
LankfordLankford+14
1,000LV
Oct.25-28
1,000LV
K. Horn
36%
K. Horn
36%

K. Horn

36%

Mullin

59%

Woods

4%

Murphy

1%
59%
MullinMullin+23
1,000LV
Oct.25-28
1,000LV
M. Horn
34%
M. Horn
34%

M. Horn

34%

Lankford

62%

Delaney

3%

Blevins

1%
62%
LankfordLankford+27
749LV
Oct.24-28
749LV
K. Horn
41%
K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

47%

Murphy

2%

Woods

2%
47%
MullinMullin+6
749LV
Oct.24-28
749LV
M. Horn
34%
M. Horn
34%

M. Horn

34%

Lankford

51%

Delaney

3%

Blevins

2%
51%
LankfordLankford+17

Oct. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Oct.13-15
500LV
K. Horn
39%
K. Horn
39%

K. Horn

39%

Mullin

52%

Murphy

3%

Woods

2%
52%
MullinMullin+13
500LV
Oct.13-15
500LV
M. Horn
36%
M. Horn
36%

M. Horn

36%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

4%

Blevins

3%
52%
LankfordLankford+16

Oct. 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

638LV
Oct.10-12
638LV
K. Horn
39%
K. Horn
39%

K. Horn

39%

Mullin

50%

Woods

1%

Murphy

0%
50%
MullinMullin+11
638LV
Oct.10-12
638LV
M. Horn
37%
M. Horn
37%

M. Horn

37%

Lankford

51%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

1%
51%
LankfordLankford+14

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

301LV
Oct.4-6
301LV
K. Horn
42%
K. Horn
42%

K. Horn

42%

Mullin

51%

Woods

3%
51%
MullinMullin+9
301LV
Oct.4-6
301LV
M. Horn
40%
M. Horn
40%

M. Horn

40%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

0%
52%
LankfordLankford+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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