See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 8, 2020, at 8:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,833 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,833LVCasey
51%

Casey

51%

Barletta

44%

Gale

2%

Kerns

1%
MoreCasey+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVCasey
56%

Casey

56%

Barletta

39%
39%
BarlettaCasey+17

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
421 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
421LVCasey
54%

Casey

54%

Barletta

40%
40%
BarlettaCasey+14

Nov. 1, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Oct 22-28, 2018
214 LV
Oct 22-28, 2018
214LVCasey
50%

Casey

50%

Barletta

35%
35%
BarlettaCasey+15
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Oct 22-28, 2018
537 RV
Oct 22-28, 2018
537RVCasey
50%

Casey

50%

Barletta

31%

Gale

2%

Kerns

1%
MoreCasey+19

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
Oct 1-2, 2018
1,188 RV
Oct 1-2, 2018
1,188RVCasey
47%

Casey

47%

Barletta

32%
32%
BarlettaCasey+15
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