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Who’s ahead in the South Carolina senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2020

802LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
802LV
Harrison
41%
Harrison
41%

Harrison

41%

Graham

51%
51%
Graham  Graham+10
880LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
880LV
Harrison
46%
Harrison
46%

Harrison

46%

Graham

49%

Bledsoe

4%
49%
GrahamGraham+3
416LV
Oct.23-Nov.1
416LV
Harrison
52%
Harrison
52%

Harrison

52%

Graham

46%

Bledsoe

2%
46%
GrahamHarrison+6
904LV
Oct.22-31
904LV
Harrison
44%
Harrison
44%

Harrison

44%

Graham

46%
46%
Graham  Graham+2
1,196LV
Oct.22-27
1,196LV
Harrison
46%
Harrison
46%

Harrison

46%

Graham

46%

Bledsoe

3%
46%
GrahamEven
800LV
Oct.26
800LV
Harrison
43%
Harrison
43%

Harrison

43%

Graham

52%

Bledsoe

3%
52%
GrahamGraham+9
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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