UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the South Carolina Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2022

600LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
600LV
Matthews
37%
Matthews
37%

Matthews

37%

Scott

54%
54%
Scott  Scott+17

March 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2022

500RV
Mar.8-13
500RV
Matthews
25%
Matthews
25%

Matthews

25%

Scott

57%

Adams

5%
57%
ScottScott+32

Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2020

802LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
802LV
Harrison
41%
Harrison
41%

Harrison

41%

Graham

51%
51%
Graham  Graham+10

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2020

880LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
880LV
Harrison
46%
Harrison
46%

Harrison

46%

Graham

49%

Bledsoe

4%
49%
GrahamGraham+3
416LV
Oct.23-Nov.1
416LV
Harrison
52%
Harrison
52%

Harrison

52%

Graham

46%

Bledsoe

2%
46%
GrahamHarrison+6

Oct. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2020

904LV
Oct.22-31
904LV
Harrison
44%
Harrison
44%

Harrison

44%

Graham

46%
46%
Graham  Graham+2
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