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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2020

431LV
Oct.23-Nov.1
431LV
Bradshaw
39%
Bradshaw
39%

Bradshaw

39%

Hagerty

61%
61%
Hagerty  Hagerty+21

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2020

610LV
Oct.20-22
610LV
Bradshaw
36%
Bradshaw
36%

Bradshaw

36%

Hagerty

56%
56%
Hagerty  Hagerty+21

Jan. 29, 2020

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2020

625RV
Jan.28-30
625RV
Mackler
35%
Mackler
35%

Mackler

35%

Sethi

46%
46%
Sethi  Sethi+11
625RV
Jan.28-30
625RV
Mackler
33%
Mackler
33%

Mackler

33%

Hagerty

55%
55%
Hagerty  Hagerty+22

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2018

480LV
Oct.28-31
480LV
Bredesen
49%
Bredesen
49%

Bredesen

49%

Blackburn

49%
49%
Blackburn  Even

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2018

632LV
Oct.28-30
632LV
Bredesen
44%
Bredesen
44%

Bredesen

44%

Blackburn

52%
52%
Blackburn  Blackburn+8
850RV
Oct.27-30
850RV
Bredesen
40%
Bredesen
40%

Bredesen

40%

Blackburn

48%
48%
Blackburn  Blackburn+8
718LV
Oct.27-30
718LV
Bredesen
41%
Bredesen
41%

Bredesen

41%

Blackburn

50%
50%
Blackburn  Blackburn+9
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