UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in Tennessee?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
431 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
431LVBradshaw
39%

Bradshaw

39%

Hagerty

61%
61%
HagertyHagerty+21

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 23, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 20-22, 2020
610 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
610LVBradshaw
36%

Bradshaw

36%

Hagerty

56%
56%
HagertyHagerty+21

Feb. 7, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Jan 28-30, 2020
625 RV
Jan 28-30, 2020
625RVMackler
35%

Mackler

35%

Sethi

46%
46%
SethiSethi+11
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Jan 28-30, 2020
625 RV
Jan 28-30, 2020
625RVMackler
33%

Mackler

33%

Hagerty

55%
55%
HagertyHagerty+22

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 28-31, 2018
480 LV
Oct 28-31, 2018
480LVBredesen
49%

Bredesen

49%

Blackburn

49%
49%
BlackburnEven
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 9-12, 2018
801 RV
Oct 9-12, 2018
801RVBredesen
45%

Bredesen

45%

Blackburn

44%
44%
BlackburnBredesen+1
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 9-12, 2018
558 LV
Oct 9-12, 2018
558LVBredesen
48%

Bredesen

48%

Blackburn

52%
52%
BlackburnBlackburn+4

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 22-29, 2018
495 LV
Oct 22-29, 2018
495LVBredesen
44%

Bredesen

44%

Blackburn

44%
44%
BlackburnEven
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