See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 22, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 16-20, 2020
750 LV
Jul 16-20, 2020
750LVHegar
37%

Hegar

37%

Cornyn

47%
47%
CornynCornyn+10
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 16-20, 2020
880 RV
Jul 16-20, 2020
880RVHegar
38%

Hegar

38%

Cornyn

47%
47%
CornynCornyn+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 12, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 7-10, 2020
1,182 LV
Jul 7-10, 2020
1,182LVWest
37%

West

37%

Cornyn

43%
43%
CornynCornyn+6
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 7-10, 2020
1,179 LV
Jul 7-10, 2020
1,179LVHegar
36%

Hegar

36%

Cornyn

44%
44%
CornynCornyn+8
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,677 LV
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,677LVWest
28%

West

28%

Cornyn

43%
43%
CornynCornyn+15
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,909 RV
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,909RVWest
25%

West

25%

Cornyn

37%
37%
CornynCornyn+12
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,677 LV
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,677LVHegar
29%

Hegar

29%

Cornyn

42%
42%
CornynCornyn+13
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,909 RV
Jun 29-Jul 7, 2020
1,909RVHegar
26%

Hegar

26%

Cornyn

37%
37%
CornynCornyn+11

July 2, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 24-25, 2020
729 V
Jun 24-25, 2020
729VHegar
35%

Hegar

35%

Cornyn

42%
42%
CornynCornyn+7

June 25, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 20-23, 2020
1,001 RV
Jun 20-23, 2020
1,001RVWest
37%

West

37%

Cornyn

47%
47%
CornynCornyn+10
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jun 20-23, 2020
1,001 RV
Jun 20-23, 2020
1,001RVHegar
36%

Hegar

36%

Cornyn

46%
46%
CornynCornyn+10

May 2, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Apr 18-27, 2020
1,183 RV
Apr 18-27, 2020
1,183RVWest
24%

West

24%

Cornyn

35%
35%
CornynCornyn+11
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Apr 18-27, 2020
1,183 RV
Apr 18-27, 2020
1,183RVHegar
24%

Hegar

24%

Cornyn

37%
37%
CornynCornyn+13
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