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Who’s ahead in the Utah Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 29, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Oct.29-30
500LV
McMullin
46%
McMullin
46%

McMullin

46%

Lee

47%
47%
Lee  Lee+1

Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

825LV
Oct.25-28
825LV
McMullin
40%
McMullin
40%

McMullin

40%

Lee

50%

Hansen

5%

Williams

3%
50%
LeeLee+10

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
McMullin
36%
McMullin
36%

McMullin

36%

Lee

51%

Hansen

3%

Williams

1%
51%
LeeLee+15

Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Oct.8-11
500LV
McMullin
49%
McMullin
49%

McMullin

49%

Lee

43%

Hansen

4%
43%
LeeMcMullin+6
239LV
Oct.4-11
239LV
McMullin
38%
McMullin
38%

McMullin

38%

Lee

50%
50%
Lee  Lee+12
406RV
Oct.4-11
406RV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

38%
38%
Lee  Lee+1

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

483LV
Oct.5-6
483LV
McMullin
32%
McMullin
32%

McMullin

32%

Lee

47%

Hansen

3%

Williams

2%
47%
LeeLee+15
773LV
Oct.3-6
773LV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

42%
42%
Lee  Lee+5
801RV
Oct.3-6
801RV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

41%

Williams

2%

Hansen

1%
41%
LeeLee+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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