Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the West Virginia Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024

762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
32%
Manchin
32%

Manchin

32%

Justice

47%
47%
Justice  Justice+15
762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
38%
Manchin
38%

Manchin

38%

Mooney

45%
45%
Mooney  Mooney+7
762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
36%
Manchin
36%

Manchin

36%

Morrisey

50%
50%
Morrisey  Morrisey+13

Jan. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024

783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
41%
Manchin
41%

Manchin

41%

Justice

37%
37%
Justice  Manchin+4
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
50%
Manchin
50%

Manchin

50%

Morrisey

29%
29%
Morrisey  Manchin+21
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
49%
Manchin
49%

Manchin

49%

Mooney

28%
28%
Mooney  Manchin+21

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2020

450LV
Oct.1-6
450LV
Swearengin
33%
Swearengin
33%

Swearengin

33%

Capito

53%

Moran

5%
53%
CapitoCapito+20

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2018

1,013LV
Oct.28-31
1,013LV
Manchin
47%
Manchin
47%

Manchin

47%

Morrisey

42%

Hollen

3%
42%
MorriseyManchin+6

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2018

400LV
Oct.19-30
400LV
Manchin
45%
Manchin
45%

Manchin

45%

Morrisey

40%

Hollen

11%
40%
MorriseyManchin+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download