UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 18, 2022

Sept. 17, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

860LV
Sep.16-18
860LV
Barnes
44%
Barnes
44%

Barnes

44%

Johnson

48%
48%
Johnson  Johnson+4

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

651LV
Sep.14-15
651LV
Barnes
48%
Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

47%
47%
Johnson  Barnes+1

Sept. 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.11-13
800LV
Barnes
45%
Barnes
45%

Barnes

45%

Johnson

49%
49%
Johnson  Johnson+4
780LV
Sep.10-13
780LV
Barnes
48%
Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

49%
49%
Johnson  Johnson+1

Sept. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

801RV
Sep.6-11
801RV
Barnes
47%
Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

48%
48%
Johnson  Johnson+1
632LV
Sep.6-11
632LV
Barnes
48%
Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

49%
49%
Johnson  Johnson+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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