UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the South Carolina race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 6, 2022

President: general election, South Carolina, 2024

600LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
600LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

DeSantis

42%
42%
DeSantis  Even
600LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
600LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+12

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024

294LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
294LV
Trump Sr.
58%
Trump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

DeSantis

33%
33%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+25

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2022

600LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
600LV
Matthews
37%
Matthews
37%

Matthews

37%

Scott

54%
54%
Scott  Scott+17

Governor, South Carolina, 2022

600LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
600LV
Cunningham
44%
Cunningham
44%

Cunningham

44%

McMaster

50%
50%
McMaster  McMaster+6

Aug. 29, 2022

Governor, South Carolina, 2022

700LV
Aug.24-30
700LV
Cunningham
42%
Cunningham
42%

Cunningham

42%

McMaster

49%

Reeves

4%
49%
McMasterMcMaster+7

Aug. 27, 2022

Governor, South Carolina, 2022

1,071LV
Aug.25-28
1,071LV
Cunningham
43%
Cunningham
43%

Cunningham

43%

McMaster

51%

Reeves

2%
51%
McMasterMcMaster+8

Aug. 24, 2022

President: general election, South Carolina, 2024

721LV
Aug.24-25
721LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump Sr.

46%
46%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+12

Governor, South Carolina, 2022

721LV
Aug.24-25
721LV
Cunningham
39%
Cunningham
39%

Cunningham

39%

McMaster

50%
50%
McMaster  McMaster+11

March 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, South Carolina, 2022

500RV
Mar.8-13
500RV
Matthews
25%
Matthews
25%

Matthews

25%

Scott

57%

Adams

5%
57%
ScottScott+32
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