UPDATED Jan. 20, 2021, at 11:43 AM

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Who’s ahead in South Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
880 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
880LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

53%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+9
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
426 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
426LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+1
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,266 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,266LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

55%
55%
TrumpTrump+12
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,266 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,266RVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

53%
53%
TrumpTrump+9
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
904 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
904LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
880 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
880LVHarrison
46%

Harrison

46%

Graham

49%

Bledsoe

4%
MoreGraham+3
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
416 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
416LVHarrison
52%

Harrison

52%

Graham

46%

Bledsoe

2%
MoreHarrison+6
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
904 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
904LVHarrison
44%

Harrison

44%

Graham

46%
46%
GrahamGraham+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 24-25, 2020
763 LV
Oct 24-25, 2020
763LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+8
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 24-25, 2020
763 LV
Oct 24-25, 2020
763LVHarrison
47%

Harrison

47%

Graham

49%
49%
GrahamGraham+2

Oct. 27, 2020

President: general election
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 22-27, 2020
1,196 LV
Oct 22-27, 2020
1,196LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 22-27, 2020
1,196 LV
Oct 22-27, 2020
1,196LVHarrison
46%
Tie

Harrison

46%

Graham

46%

Bledsoe

3%
MoreEven

Oct. 26, 2020

President: general election
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 26, 2020
800 LV
Oct 26, 2020
800LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 26, 2020
800 LV
Oct 26, 2020
800LVHarrison
43%

Harrison

43%

Graham

52%

Bledsoe

3%
MoreGraham+9

Oct. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election S.C.
S.C.
Oct 11-20, 2020
926 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
926LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 11-20, 2020
926 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
926LVHarrison
47%

Harrison

47%

Graham

45%
45%
GrahamHarrison+2
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