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Who’s ahead in the South Carolina race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending yesterday

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 6-8
1,087LV
Dec. 6-8
1,087LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

Haley

23%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

6%

Hutchinson

0%
23%
HaleyTrump+26

Nov. 13, 2023

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 12-14
600LV
Nov. 12-14
600LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

Haley

24%

DeSantis

11%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
24%
HaleyTrump+29
Nov. 12-14
600LV
Nov. 12-14
600LV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

Haley

31%
31%
Haley  Trump+33

Nov. 11, 2023

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-12
780RV
Nov. 4-12
780RV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

Haley

19%

DeSantis

13%

Scott

11%

Ramaswamy

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
19%
HaleyTrump+29

Oct. 24, 2023

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 18-25
738LV
Oct. 18-25
738LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

Haley

22%

DeSantis

11%

Scott

6%

Christie

2%

Pence

2%

Ramaswamy

1%

Johnson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%
22%
HaleyTrump+31

Sept. 30, 2023

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

28%
28%
DeSantis  Trump+37
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

Haley

18%

DeSantis

12%

Scott

7%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

2%

Christie

1%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
18%
HaleyTrump+36
Sept. 23-Oct. 1
739RV
Sept. 23-Oct. 1
739RV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

Haley

19%

DeSantis

12%

Scott

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

Pence

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Johnson

0%
19%
HaleyTrump+29
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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