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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 1, 2024

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

March 15-April 2
1,176RV
March 15-April 2
1,176RV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

16%
48%
TrumpTrump+23
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

60%
60%
Trump  Trump+29
March 15-April 2
955LV
March 15-April 2
955LV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

15%
47%
TrumpTrump+19
March 15-April 2
974LV
March 15-April 2
974LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+24

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, Democratic primary

March 15-April 2
319RV
March 15-April 2
319RV
Johnson
35%
Johnson
35%

Johnson

35%

Bradshaw

7%

Miller-Watkins

2%

Fain

2%
7%
BradshawJohnson+28
March 15-April 2
282LV
March 15-April 2
282LV
Johnson
38%
Johnson
38%

Johnson

38%

Bradshaw

7%

Miller-Watkins

2%

Fain

1%
7%
BradshawJohnson+31

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, General election

March 15-April 2
1,136RV
March 15-April 2
1,136RV
Bradshaw
21%
Bradshaw
21%

Bradshaw

21%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+24
March 15-April 2
1,137RV
March 15-April 2
1,137RV
Johnson
27%
Johnson
27%

Johnson

27%

Blackburn

44%
44%
Blackburn  Blackburn+17
March 15-April 2
947LV
March 15-April 2
947LV
Bradshaw
21%
Bradshaw
21%

Bradshaw

21%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+24
March 15-April 2
955LV
March 15-April 2
955LV
Johnson
29%
Johnson
29%

Johnson

29%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+16

March 2, 2024

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
201LV
Feb. 29-March 3
201LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+25
Feb. 29-March 3
216RV
Feb. 29-March 3
216RV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+24

President: Republican primary, Tennessee, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
146LV
Feb. 29-March 3
146LV
Trump
83%
Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+67
Feb. 29-March 3
161RV
Feb. 29-March 3
161RV
Trump
78%
Trump
78%

Trump

78%

Haley

16%
16%
Haley  Trump+62

Feb. 3, 2024

President: Republican primary, Tennessee, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
428LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
428LV
Trump
81%
Trump
81%

Trump

81%

Haley

18%
18%
Haley  Trump+63

Dec. 30, 2023

President: Republican primary, Tennessee, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

9%
14%
DeSantisTrump+57

Dec. 27, 2023

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

Dec. 14-28
929LV
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Trump

51%

Kennedy

16%
51%
TrumpTrump+26
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Biden
23%
Biden
23%

Biden

23%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

17%
48%
TrumpTrump+25
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

63%
63%
Trump  Trump+32
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Trump

61%
61%
Trump  Trump+31

President: Democratic primary, Tennessee, 2024

Dec. 14-28
251LV
Dec. 14-28
251LV
Harris
27%
Harris
27%

Harris

27%

Sanders

19%

H. Clinton

18%

Newsom

12%

Buttigieg

9%

Williamson

1%
19%
SandersHarris+8
Dec. 14-28
303RV
Dec. 14-28
303RV
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Sanders

17%

H. Clinton

16%

Newsom

11%

Buttigieg

9%

Williamson

2%
17%
SandersHarris+13

President: Republican primary, Tennessee, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 14-28
522LV
Dec. 14-28
522LV
DeSantis
46%
DeSantis
46%

DeSantis

46%

Ramaswamy

18%

Haley

14%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%
18%
RamaswamyDeSantis+28
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Dec. 14-28
646RV
DeSantis
42%
DeSantis
42%

DeSantis

42%

Haley

16%

Ramaswamy

16%

Christie

7%

Hutchinson

0%
16%
HaleyDeSantis+26
Dec. 14-28
522LV
Dec. 14-28
522LV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

DeSantis

12%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+60
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%
10%
DeSantisTrump+61

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, Democratic primary

Dec. 14-28
303LV
Dec. 14-28
303LV
Johnson
35%
Johnson
35%

Johnson

35%

Bradshaw

10%

Miller-Watkins

2%
10%
BradshawJohnson+25
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