UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Tennessee?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 3, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
3,342 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
3,342LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+9
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
3,342 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
3,342RVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
485 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
485LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

58%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+17
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn. Tenn.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
431 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
431LVBradshaw
39%

Bradshaw

39%

Hagerty

61%
61%
HagertyHagerty+21

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn. Tenn.
Oct 20-22, 2020
610 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
610LVBradshaw
36%

Bradshaw

36%

Hagerty

56%
56%
HagertyHagerty+21

Oct. 19, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
4,150 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
4,150LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

57%
57%
TrumpTrump+16
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
4,150 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
4,150RVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

55%
55%
TrumpTrump+12

Oct. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,796 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,796RVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

57%
57%
TrumpTrump+16
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,796 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,796LVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

59%
59%
TrumpTrump+20
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Jul 1-31, 2020
2,481 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
2,481RVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
TrumpTrump+18
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Jul 1-31, 2020
2,481 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
2,481LVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

61%
61%
TrumpTrump+23
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Jun 8-30, 2020
1,092 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
1,092RVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
TrumpTrump+19
President: general election Tenn.
Tenn.
Jun 8-30, 2020
1,092 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
1,092LVBiden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

61%
61%
TrumpTrump+24
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