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Who’s ahead in the Texas ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 5, 2025

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2026, Republican primary

Jan. 4-6, 2025
LV
Jan. 4-6, 2025
LV
Paxton
42%
Paxton
42%

Paxton

42%

Cornyn

34%
34%
Cornyn  Paxton+8

Nov. 3, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+11
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

54%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
54%
TrumpTrump+10

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+7

Oct. 30, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 22-31, 2024
2,120LV
Oct. 22-31, 2024
2,120LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 22-31, 2024
2,120LV
Oct. 22-31, 2024
2,120LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+3

Oct. 27, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 26-28, 2024
600LV
Oct. 26-28, 2024
600LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+8

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 26-28, 2024
600LV
Oct. 26-28, 2024
600LV
Allred
45%
Allred
45%

Allred

45%

Cruz

49%

Brown

3%
49%
CruzCruz+4

Oct. 26, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 21-27, 2024
400LV
Oct. 21-27, 2024
400LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+10

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 21-27, 2024
400LV
Oct. 21-27, 2024
400LV
Allred
48%
Allred
48%

Allred

48%

Cruz

52%
52%
Cruz  Cruz+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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