UPDATED Jan. 20, 2021, at 11:43 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 10, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Aug 8-11, 2018
Aug 8-11, 2018
O'Rourke
48%

O'Rourke

48%

Cruz

47%
47%
CruzO'Rourke+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,151 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,151LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+4
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
8,250 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
8,250LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
8,250 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
8,250RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpEven
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,042 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,042LVHegar
44%

Hegar

44%

Cornyn

57%
57%
CornynCornyn+13
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267LVHegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

47%
47%
CornynCornyn+4

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
926 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
926LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 30-31, 2020
962 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
962LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+3
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 29-31, 2020
763 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
763LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+1
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 27-28, 2020
670 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
670LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+5
President: general election Texas
Texas
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
2,947 LV
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
2,947LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
926 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
926LVHegar
47%

Hegar

47%

Cornyn

50%

Turullols-Bonilla

2%

McKennon

1%
MoreCornyn+3
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 29-31, 2020
763 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
763LVHegar
47%

Hegar

47%

Cornyn

51%
51%
CornynCornyn+4
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 27-28, 2020
670 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
670LVHegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

49%
49%
CornynCornyn+6

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 28-29, 2020
775 V
Oct 28-29, 2020
775VBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 23-26, 2020
552 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
552LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%
MoreTrump+1
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 27-28, 2020
800 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
800LVHegar
42%

Hegar

42%

Cornyn

48%
48%
CornynCornyn+6
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 23-26, 2020
492 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
492LVHegar
48%

Hegar

48%

Cornyn

52%
52%
CornynCornyn+5
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