UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 21, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Jul 19-21, 2021
400 LV
Jul 19-21, 2021
400LVWright
44%

Wright

44%

Ellzey

34%
34%
EllzeyWright+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 8, 2021

Governor
Governor
TexasTexas
Jun 14-17, 2021
800 RV
Jun 14-17, 2021
800RVO'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

52%
52%
AbbottAbbott+10

July 3, 2021

Governor
Governor
TexasTexas
Jun 22-29, 2021
1,090 RV
Jun 22-29, 2021
1,090RVO'Rourke
33%

O'Rourke

33%

Abbott

45%
45%
AbbottAbbott+12
Governor
TexasTexas
Jun 22-29, 2021
1,090 RV
Jun 22-29, 2021
1,090RVMcConaughey
38%

McConaughey

38%

Abbott

39%
39%
AbbottAbbott+1

June 7, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Jun 1-3, 2021
400 LV
Jun 1-3, 2021
400LVWright
49%

Wright

49%

Ellzey

34%
34%
EllzeyWright+15

April 22, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 5-12, 2021
344 LV
Apr 5-12, 2021
344LVSanchez
43%

Sanchez

43%

Wright

53%
53%
WrightWright+10
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 5-12, 2021
344 LV
Apr 5-12, 2021
344LVSanchez
16%

Sanchez

16%

Wright

22%

Ellzey

13%

Harrison

10%

Lassiter

10%

Bean

9%

Mizher

2%
MoreWright+6
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