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Who’s ahead in the Texas race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 29, 2023

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

1,020LV
May 26-30
1,020LV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

DeSantis

33%
33%
DeSantis  Trump+18
1,020LV
May 26-30
1,020LV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

23%

Cruz

4%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

3%

Hutchinson

2%

Ramaswamy

2%
23%
DeSantisTrump+24

May 20, 2023

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024

1,413RV
May 10-21
1,413RV
Allred
37%
Allred
37%

Allred

37%

Cruz

42%
42%
Cruz  Cruz+5

May 16, 2023

President: general election, Texas, 2024

1,000RV
May 8-17
1,000RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantis  DeSantis+5
1,000RV
May 8-17
1,000RV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+7
1,000RV
May 8-17
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantis  DeSantis+2
1,000RV
May 8-17
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

May 8-17
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

36%
36%
DeSantis  Trump+21

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024

1,000RV
May 8-17
1,000RV
Allred
40%
Allred
40%

Allred

40%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+7

April 30, 2023

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

699LV
Apr.29-May 1
699LV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

5%

Cruz

4%

Pence

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Hutchinson

1%

T. Scott

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+38

April 20, 2023

President: general election, Texas, 2024

677LV
Apr.17-21
677LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantis  DeSantis+4
677LV
Apr.17-21
677LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+3
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