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Who’s ahead in the Texas ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 2, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
458LV
Feb. 29-March 3
458LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+9
Feb. 29-March 3
489RV
Feb. 29-March 3
489RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+8

President: Democratic primary, Texas, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
151RV
Feb. 29-March 3
151RV
Biden
87%
Biden
87%

Biden

87%

Phillips

1%
1%
Phillips  Biden+86

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
238LV
Feb. 29-March 3
238LV
Trump
79%
Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

21%
21%
Haley  Trump+59
Feb. 29-March 3
262RV
Feb. 29-March 3
262RV
Trump
74%
Trump
74%

Trump

74%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+56

Feb. 25, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024

Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Haley

33%

Kennedy

20%

West

7%

Stein

3%
33%
HaleyBiden+3
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Haley

42%
42%
Haley  Haley+6
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

13%

West

6%

Stein

3%
41%
TrumpTrump+4
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4

President: Democratic primary, Texas, 2024

Feb. 18-26
441LV
Feb. 18-26
441LV
Biden
74%
Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Phillips

10%
10%
Phillips  Biden+64

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 18-26
522LV
Feb. 18-26
522LV
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+58

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 18-26
441LV
Feb. 18-26
441LV
Allred
37%
Allred
37%

Allred

37%

Gutierrez

22%

Sherman

6%
22%
GutierrezAllred+15

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Feb. 18-26
1,167RV
Allred
41%
Allred
41%

Allred

41%

Cruz

41%
41%
Cruz  Even

Feb. 16, 2024

U.S. House, TX-18, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 7-17
450LV
Feb. 7-17
450LV
Jackson Lee
43%
Jackson Lee
43%

Jackson Lee

43%

Edwards

38%

Slater

3%
38%
EdwardsJackson Lee+5

U.S. House, TX-7, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 7-17
350LV
Feb. 7-17
350LV
Fletcher
78%
Fletcher
78%

Fletcher

78%

Agwan

11%
11%
Agwan  Fletcher+67

Feb. 11, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024

Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Haley

31%
31%
Haley  Biden+9
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

West

3%

Stein

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+9

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 2-12
486RV
Feb. 2-12
486RV
Trump
80%
Trump
80%

Trump

80%

Haley

9%

DeSantis

8%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%

Stuckenberg

0%
9%
HaleyTrump+71

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 2-12
354RV
Feb. 2-12
354RV
Allred
52%
Allred
52%

Allred

52%

Gutierrez

14%

Gonzalez

5%

Gomez

3%

Keough

3%

Sherman

2%

Prillman

1%

Tchenko

1%

Arguijo

0%

Hassan

0%
14%
GutierrezAllred+38

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 2-12
492RV
Feb. 2-12
492RV
Cruz
82%
Cruz
82%

Cruz

82%

Gibson

7%

Lopez

3%
7%
GibsonCruz+75

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Gutierrez
31%
Gutierrez
31%

Gutierrez

31%

Cruz

45%
45%
Cruz  Cruz+14
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Feb. 2-12
1,200RV
Allred
32%
Allred
32%

Allred

32%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+14

Feb. 7, 2024

President: general election, Texas, 2024

Feb. 6-8
807LV
Feb. 6-8
807LV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

6%

Manchin

4%

West

3%
42%
TrumpTrump+7

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Feb. 6-8
807LV
Feb. 6-8
807LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

44%
44%
Cruz  Even
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