UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 23, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Mar 11-16, 2021
500 LV
Mar 11-16, 2021
500LVWright
18%
Tie

Wright

18%

Wright

18%

Sanchez

9%

Sanchez

9%

Ellzey

8%

Ellzey

8%

Bean

6%

Harrison

6%

Bean

6%

Harrison

6%

Lassiter

4%

Lassiter

4%

Moses

2%

Moses

2%

Rodimer

1%

Rodimer

1%
MoreEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 19, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Mar 9-12, 2021
450 LV
Mar 9-12, 2021
450LVWright
21%
Tie

Wright

21%

Wright

21%

Sanchez

17%

Sanchez

17%

Ellzey

8%

Ellzey

8%

Bean

5%

Bean

5%

Lassiter

3%

Mizher

3%

Lassiter

3%

Mizher

3%

Moses

2%

Moses

2%

Kim

1%

Kim

1%
MoreEven

Nov. 10, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Aug 8-11, 2018
Aug 8-11, 2018
O'Rourke
48%

O'Rourke

48%

Cruz

47%
47%
CruzO'Rourke+1

Nov. 4, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
9,226 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
9,226LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
9,226 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
9,226RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+3

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,151 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,151LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+4
President: general election Texas
Texas
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpEven
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,042 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,042LVHegar
44%

Hegar

44%

Cornyn

57%
57%
CornynCornyn+13
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
3,267LVHegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

47%
47%
CornynCornyn+4
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