UPDATED Sep. 30, 2022, at 7:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Texas race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,327LV
Sep.22-26
1,327LV
O'Rourke
46%
O'Rourke
46%

O'Rourke

46%

Abbott

53%
53%
Abbott  Abbott+7

Sept. 21, 2022

President: general election, Texas, 2024

1,000LV
Sep.20-22
1,000LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+9

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.20-22
1,000LV
O'Rourke
42%
O'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

50%

Tippetts

2%

Barrios

0%
50%
AbbottAbbott+8

Sept. 20, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

323LV
Jun.23-Sep.21
323LV
O'Rourke
40%
O'Rourke
40%

O'Rourke

40%

Abbott

47%

Tippetts

9%

Barrios

3%
47%
AbbottAbbott+7

Sept. 17, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

651LV
Sep.14-18
651LV
O'Rourke
43%
O'Rourke
43%

O'Rourke

43%

Abbott

50%
50%
Abbott  Abbott+7

Sept. 14, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,172LV
Sep.6-15
1,172LV
O'Rourke
44%
O'Rourke
44%

O'Rourke

44%

Abbott

51%

Tippetts

1%

Barrios

1%
51%
AbbottAbbott+7
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