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Who’s ahead in the Texas race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

992LV
May 4-10
992LV
DeSantis
56%
DeSantis
56%

DeSantis

56%

Cruz

14%

Abbott

10%

Haley

9%

Noem

3%
14%
CruzDeSantis+42
992LV
May 4-10
992LV
Trump Sr.
44%
Trump Sr.
44%

Trump Sr.

44%

DeSantis

28%

Haley

7%

Cruz

6%

Abbott

5%

Noem

2%
28%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+16

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,232RV
May 2-10
1,232RV
O'Rourke
39%
O'Rourke
39%

O'Rourke

39%

Abbott

46%

Barrios

3%

Tippetts

3%
46%
AbbottAbbott+7

April 21, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,200RV
Apr.14-22
1,200RV
O'Rourke
37%
O'Rourke
37%

O'Rourke

37%

Abbott

48%
48%
Abbott  Abbott+11

April 20, 2022

U.S. House, TX-34, 2022

400LV
Apr.19-21
400LV
Sanchez
19%
Sanchez
19%

Sanchez

19%

Flores

24%

Coronado

9%

Cantu-Cabrera

7%
24%
FloresFlores+5

March 31, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

678LV
Mar.29-Apr.1
678LV
DeSantis
48%
DeSantis
48%

DeSantis

48%

Cruz

19%

Haley

13%

Abbott

10%

Noem

3%
19%
CruzDeSantis+29
678LV
Mar.29-Apr.1
678LV
Trump Sr.
46%
Trump Sr.
46%

Trump Sr.

46%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

10%

Cruz

8%

Abbott

6%

Noem

2%
20%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+26

March 27, 2022

Governor, Texas, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,139LV
Mar.18-28
1,139LV
O'Rourke
42%
O'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

50%

Tippetts

2%

Barrios

1%
50%
AbbottAbbott+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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