UPDATED Jun. 8, 2021, at 8:24 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Jun 1-3, 2021
400 LV
Jun 1-3, 2021
400LVWright
49%

Wright

49%

Ellzey

34%
34%
EllzeyWright+15

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

April 22, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 5-12, 2021
344 LV
Apr 5-12, 2021
344LVSanchez
43%

Sanchez

43%

Wright

53%
53%
WrightWright+10
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 5-12, 2021
344 LV
Apr 5-12, 2021
344LVSanchez
16%

Sanchez

16%

Wright

22%

Ellzey

13%

Harrison

10%

Lassiter

10%

Bean

9%

Mizher

2%
MoreWright+6

April 18, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 11-13, 2021
400 RV
Apr 11-13, 2021
400RVSanchez
20%

Sanchez

20%

Wright

17%

Ellzey

16%

Harrison

12%

Bean

7%

Lassiter

5%

Moses

3%

Rodimer

2%
MoreSanchez+3
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Apr 11-13, 2021
400 RV
Apr 11-13, 2021
400RVSanchez
16%

Sanchez

16%

Wright

15%

Ellzey

14%

Harrison

12%

Bean

5%

Lassiter

3%

Castro

3%

Rodimer

2%

Mizher

1%

Allison

1%

Wood

1%

Stephenson

1%

Egan

1%

Suprun

1%

Moses

0%

Kim

0%

Gray

0%

Salazar

0%

Garcia Sharon

0%

Ballantine

0%

Eddings

0%

Hinterlong

0%

Rodermund

0%
MoreSanchez+1
Governor
Governor
TexasTexas
Apr 6-13, 2021
1,126 RV
Apr 6-13, 2021
1,126RVMcConaughey
45%

McConaughey

45%

Abbott

33%
33%
AbbottMcConaughey+12

March 22, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Mar 11-16, 2021
500 LV
Mar 11-16, 2021
500LVWright
18%
Tie

Wright

18%

Wright

18%

Sanchez

9%

Sanchez

9%

Ellzey

8%

Ellzey

8%

Bean

6%

Harrison

6%

Bean

6%

Harrison

6%

Lassiter

4%

Lassiter

4%

Moses

2%

Moses

2%

Rodimer

1%

Rodimer

1%
MoreEven

March 18, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-6TX-6
Mar 9-12, 2021
450 LV
Mar 9-12, 2021
450LVWright
21%
Tie

Wright

21%

Wright

21%

Sanchez

17%

Sanchez

17%

Ellzey

8%

Ellzey

8%

Bean

5%

Bean

5%

Lassiter

3%

Mizher

3%

Lassiter

3%

Mizher

3%

Moses

2%

Moses

2%

Kim

1%

Kim

1%
MoreEven
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