UPDATED Jan. 18, 2021, at 2:57 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 15-17, 2021
1,131 RV
Jan 15-17, 2021
1,131RVApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+27
Presidential approval

Jan 12-17, 2021
1,500 LV
Jan 12-17, 2021
1,500LVApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+3
Presidential approval

Jan 4-15, 2021
1,023 A
Jan 4-15, 2021
1,023AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

62%
62%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Dec 16-22, 2020
1,000 LV
Dec 16-22, 2020
1,000LVApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 13-15, 2021
2,166 A
Jan 13-15, 2021
2,166AApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

59%
59%
DisapproveDisapprove+18
Presidential approval

Jan 12-15, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 12-15, 2021
1,000RVApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

54%
54%
DisapproveDisapprove+13
Presidential approval

Jan 9-14, 2021
1,003 A
Jan 9-14, 2021
1,003AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

62%
62%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Jan 10-13, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 10-13, 2021
1,000RVApprove
43%

Approve

43%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+12
Presidential approval

Jan 6-8, 2021
1,163 RV
Jan 6-8, 2021
1,163RVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

52%
52%
DisapproveDisapprove+10

Jan. 15, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+26
Presidential approval

Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002 A
Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002AApprove
38%

Approve

38%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+22
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630 A
Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630AApprove
29%

Approve

29%

Disapprove

68%
68%
DisapproveDisapprove+39

Jan. 14, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
1,163 RV
Jan 8-12, 2021
1,163RVApprove
35%

Approve

35%

Disapprove

63%
63%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
1,399 A
Jan 8-12, 2021
1,399AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+27
Presidential approval

Jan 6-12, 2021
31,920 RV
Jan 6-12, 2021
31,920RVApprove
36%

Approve

36%

Disapprove

57%
57%
DisapproveDisapprove+21

Jan. 13, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 10-12, 2021
1,293 RV
Jan 10-12, 2021
1,293RVApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+14
Presidential approval

Jan 10-12, 2021
1,500 A
Jan 10-12, 2021
1,500AApprove
39%

Approve

39%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+16
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 8-11, 2021
1,000RVApprove
36%

Approve

36%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+25
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