We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Nov. 28, 2020, at 9:18 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Vermont?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
719 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
719LVBiden
71%

Biden

71%

Trump

26%
26%
TrumpBiden+45
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
719 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
719RVBiden
70%

Biden

70%

Trump

28%
28%
TrumpBiden+42

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Oct 19-20, 2020
584 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
584LVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+30

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
785 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
785LVBiden
67%

Biden

67%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+35
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
785 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
785RVBiden
66%

Biden

66%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+34

Oct. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Aug 1-31, 2020
236 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
236RVBiden
68%

Biden

68%

Trump

31%
31%
TrumpBiden+37
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Aug 1-31, 2020
236 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
236LVBiden
70%

Biden

70%

Trump

29%
29%
TrumpBiden+41
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Jul 1-31, 2020
368 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
368RVBiden
69%

Biden

69%

Trump

29%
29%
TrumpBiden+40
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Jul 1-31, 2020
368 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
368LVBiden
71%

Biden

71%

Trump

27%
27%
TrumpBiden+44
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Jun 8-30, 2020
113 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
113RVBiden
73%

Biden

73%

Trump

21%
21%
TrumpBiden+51
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Jun 8-30, 2020
113 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
113LVBiden
75%

Biden

75%

Trump

20%
20%
TrumpBiden+55

Sept. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Vt.
Vt.
Sep 3-15, 2020
586 LV
Sep 3-15, 2020
586LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+23
U.S. House
U.S. House
VT-1VT-1
Sep 3-15, 2020
586 LV
Sep 3-15, 2020
586LVWelch
57%

Welch

57%

Berry

18%

Becker

2%

Horne

1%

Helali

1%

Orr

0%

Trudell

0%
MoreWelch+39
Governor
Governor
Vt.Vt.
Sep 3-15, 2020
586 LV
Sep 3-15, 2020
586LVZuckerman
24%

Zuckerman

24%

Scott

55%

Hoyt

1%

Whitney

1%

Billado

0%

Devost

0%

Dickerson

0%
MoreScott+31
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