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Who’s ahead in the Virginia ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 11, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
39%
TrumpHarris+4
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpHarris+3
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+4
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
36%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Biden+3
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+2

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

36%
36%
Cao  Kaine+17
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Kaine
52%
Kaine
52%

Kaine

52%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+18

July 10, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+3

July 2, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

June 24-July 3
809A
June 24-July 3
809A
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+3

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

June 24-July 3
809A
June 24-July 3
809A
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

38%
38%
Cao  Kaine+11

June 3, 2024

U.S. House, VA-5, 2024, Republican primary

June 2-4
300LV
June 2-4
300LV
McGuire
41%
McGuire
41%

McGuire

41%

Good

31%
31%
Good  McGuire+10
May 30-June 4
301LV
May 30-June 4
301LV
Good
39%
Good
39%

Good

39%

McGuire

30%
30%
McGuire  Good+9

June 2, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

June 1-3
1,107RV
June 1-3
1,107RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%

Stein

2%
41%
TrumpBiden+1
June 1-3
1,107RV
June 1-3
1,107RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
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