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Who’s ahead in the Virginia ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 19, 2025

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Jan. 18-20, 2025
867LV
Jan. 18-20, 2025
867LV
Spanberger
40%
Spanberger
40%

Spanberger

40%

Sears

40%
40%
Sears  Even

Jan. 14, 2025

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2026, General election

Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Warner
45%
Warner
45%

Warner

45%

Youngkin

38%
38%
Youngkin  Warner+7

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Spanberger
44%
Spanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Sears

34%
34%
Sears  Spanberger+10

Jan. 12, 2025

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Jan. 6-13, 2025
806RV
Jan. 6-13, 2025
806RV
Spanberger
44%
Spanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Sears

39%
39%
Sears  Spanberger+5

Jan. 7, 2025

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Jan. 6-8, 2025
1,000RV
Jan. 6-8, 2025
1,000RV
Spanberger
42%
Spanberger
42%

Spanberger

42%

Sears

41%
41%
Sears  Spanberger+1

Dec. 18, 2024

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Scott
44%
Scott
44%

Scott

44%

Sears

46%
46%
Sears  Sears+2
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Spanberger
47%
Spanberger
47%

Spanberger

47%

Sears

44%
44%
Sears  Spanberger+3

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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