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Who’s ahead in the Virginia ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 2, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
368LV
Feb. 29-March 3
368LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+6
Feb. 29-March 3
394RV
Feb. 29-March 3
394RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+5

President: Democratic primary, Virginia, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
120RV
Feb. 29-March 3
120RV
Biden
92%
Biden
92%

Biden

92%

Phillips

0%
0%
Phillips  Biden+92

President: Republican primary, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
183LV
Feb. 29-March 3
183LV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

Haley

45%
45%
Haley  Trump+10
Feb. 29-March 3
204RV
Feb. 29-March 3
204RV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

Haley

41%
41%
Haley  Trump+11

Feb. 18, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

Feb. 11-19
705A
Feb. 11-19
705A
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Haley

49%
49%
Haley  Haley+9
Feb. 11-19
705A
Feb. 11-19
705A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+4

President: Republican primary, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 11-19
392LV
Feb. 11-19
392LV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

Haley

43%
43%
Haley  Trump+8
Feb. 11-19
177A
Feb. 11-19
177A
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

Haley

15%
15%
Haley  Trump+60

Feb. 3, 2024

President: Republican primary, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
436LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
436LV
Trump
78%
Trump
78%

Trump

78%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+59

Jan. 16, 2024

Governor, Virginia, 2025, Democratic primary

Jan. 11-17
RV
Jan. 11-17
RV
Spanberger
52%
Spanberger
52%

Spanberger

52%

Stoney

8%
8%
Stoney  Spanberger+44

Jan. 12, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Haley

43%
43%
Haley  Haley+5
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

DeSantis

39%
39%
DeSantis  Biden+3
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+3
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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