We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
467 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
467LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+15
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,145 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,145LVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

41%
41%
TrumpBiden+16
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,145 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,145RVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

40%
40%
TrumpBiden+17
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
283 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
283LVWarner
61%

Warner

61%

Gade

39%
39%
GadeWarner+21

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
690 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
690LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
690 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
690LVWarner
57%

Warner

57%

Gade

42%
42%
GadeWarner+15

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 23-29, 2020
802 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
802LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

42%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 23-29, 2020
802 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
802LVWarner
55%

Warner

55%

Gade

39%
39%
GadeWarner+16

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 23-26, 2020
351 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
351LVBiden
55%

Biden

55%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 23-26, 2020
332 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
332LVWarner
60%

Warner

60%

Gade

40%
40%
GadeWarner+19

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Va.
Va.
Oct 13-22, 2020
709 LV
Oct 13-22, 2020
709LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+12
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 13-22, 2020
709 LV
Oct 13-22, 2020
709LVWarner
55%

Warner

55%

Gade

38%
38%
GadeWarner+17
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