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Who’s ahead in the Virginia ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 14, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

5%
45%
TrumpTrump+4
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%
41%
TrumpTrump+1
July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

4%
42%
TrumpBiden+1
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

5%
40%
TrumpEven
July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+1
July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Even
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+3
July 14-15
1,000RV
July 14-15
1,000RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
July 14-15
1,000RV
July 14-15
1,000RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+5
July 14-15
1,000RV
July 14-15
1,000RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Kaine
44%
Kaine
44%

Kaine

44%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+10
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Kaine
42%
Kaine
42%

Kaine

42%

Cao

33%
33%
Cao  Kaine+9
July 14-15
1,000RV
July 14-15
1,000RV
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

39%
39%
Cao  Kaine+10

July 12, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

10%
38%
TrumpHarris+5
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

10%
37%
TrumpHarris+4
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

11%
38%
TrumpBiden+3
July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+4
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+4
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+4
July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

10%
39%
TrumpBiden+3
July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+5

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Kaine
47%
Kaine
47%

Kaine

47%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+13
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Kaine
45%
Kaine
45%

Kaine

45%

Cao

32%
32%
Cao  Kaine+13

July 11, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
39%
TrumpHarris+4
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpHarris+3
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+4
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
36%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Biden+3
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+2

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

36%
36%
Cao  Kaine+17
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Kaine
52%
Kaine
52%

Kaine

52%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+18

July 10, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+3

July 2, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 24-July 3
755RV
June 24-July 3
755RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

2%
39%
TrumpTrump+2
June 24-July 3
809A
June 24-July 3
809A
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+3

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

June 24-July 3
755RV
June 24-July 3
755RV
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

39%
39%
Cao  Kaine+10
June 24-July 3
809A
June 24-July 3
809A
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

38%
38%
Cao  Kaine+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

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