B/C
| Polls analyzed | 20 |
| Races called correctly | 57% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from ALG Research?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16-21 | 500LV | House (AR-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Hill (R) +10.7 | Difference 10.7 |
2018
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-28 | 500LV | House (FL-27) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shalala (D) +10.0 | Actual Shalala (D) +6.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 15-21 | 906LV | Governor (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Whitmer (D) +11.0 | Actual Whitmer (D) +9.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 15-21 | 906LV | Governor (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Whitmer (D) +10.0 | Actual Whitmer (D) +9.6 | Difference 0.4 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24-25 | 446LV | Senate (IN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Donnelly (D) +7.0 | Actual Donnelly (D) +5.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 18-21 | 400LV | House (IL-13) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gill (D) +9.0 | Actual Davis (R) +0.3 | Difference 9.3 |
| Oct 18-21 | 501LV | House (FL-22) General election | Live Phone | Poll Frankel (D) +10.0 | Actual Frankel (D) +9.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 17-21 | 800LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carmona (D) +4.0 | Actual Flake (R) +3.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 16-18 | 400LV | House (IL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Duckworth (D) +15.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +9.5 | Difference 5.5 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-28 | 400LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Giannoulias (D) +2.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 20-24 | 600LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Giannoulias (D) +2.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 20-21 | 400LV | House (LA-2) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Richmond (D) +17.0 | Actual Richmond (D) +31.1 | Difference 14.1 |
| Oct 17-19 | 600LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Vitter (R) +3.0 | Actual Vitter (R) +18.9 | Difference 15.9 |
| Oct 13-17 | 601LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Giannoulias (D) +5.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 11-13 | 400LV | House (AR-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Causey (D) +2.0 | Actual Crawford (R) +8.3 | Difference 10.3 |
| Apr 27-29 | 406LV | House (PA-12) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Critz (D) +2.0 | Actual Critz (D) +7.7 | Difference 5.7 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13-15 | 400LV | President (NE-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +1.2 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 13-15 | 400LV | House (NE-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Terry (R) +1.0 | Actual Terry (R) +3.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Apr 3-7 | 500LV | House (MS-1) Special jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Davis (R) +2.0 | Actual Childers (D) +3.2 | Difference 5.2 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-23 | 500LV | House (FL-22) General election | Live Phone | Poll Klein (D) +6.0 | Actual Klein (D) +3.8 | Difference 2.2 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-21 | 400LV | House (UT-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Matheson (D) +23.0 | Actual Matheson (D) +11.5 | Difference 11.5 |
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