C+
| Polls analyzed | 277 |
| Races called correctly | 75% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from American Research Group?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +5.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +31.8 | Difference 26.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +17.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +15.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Biden (D) +19.0 | Actual Biden (D) +7.4 | Difference 11.6 |
| Feb 8-9 | 400LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +8.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +1.3 | Difference 6.7 |
| Jan 27-30 | 400LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +14.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +3.4 | Difference 10.6 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ayotte (R) +3.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +0.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +4.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +2.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 17-20 | 1,006LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| May 31-Jun 2 | 400LV | President (NJ) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +23.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +26.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| May 31-Jun 2 | 400LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +7.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Apr 27-28 | 400LV | President (IN) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +9.0 | Actual Trump (R) +16.6 | Difference 7.6 |
| Apr 27-28 | 400LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +4.9 | Difference 12.9 |
| Apr 21-24 | 400LV | President (PA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +27.0 | Actual Trump (R) +34.8 | Difference 7.8 |
| Apr 21-24 | 400LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +20.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +11.9 | Difference 8.1 |
| Apr 21-24 | 400LV | President (MD) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +34.0 | Actual Trump (R) +30.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Apr 21-24 | 400LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +28.7 | Difference 22.7 |
| Apr 1-3 | 400LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +10.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +13.2 | Difference 23.2 |
| Apr 1-3 | 400LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +1.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +13.5 | Difference 14.5 |
| Mar 12-13 | 400LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Kasich (R) +6.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +11.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Mar 12-13 | 400LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Mar 11-13 | 400LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +25.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.7 | Difference 6.3 |
| Mar 11-13 | 400LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +21.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +31.2 | Difference 10.2 |
| Mar 4-5 | 400LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +16.0 | Actual Trump (R) +11.9 | Difference 4.1 |
| Mar 4-5 | 400LV | President (MI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +24.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +1.4 | Difference 25.4 |
| Feb 26-28 | 400LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Cruz (R) +1.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +17.0 | Difference 16.0 |
| Feb 26-28 | 400LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +20.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +32.0 | Difference 12.0 |
| Feb 19-20 | 400LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +23.0 | Actual Trump (R) +11.9 | Difference 11.1 |
| Feb 19-20 | 400LV | President (MI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +13.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +1.4 | Difference 14.4 |
| Feb 17-18 | 400LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +29.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.4 | Difference 18.4 |
| Feb 17-18 | 401LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +12.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Feb 14-16 | 400LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +30.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.4 | Difference 17.4 |
| Feb 14-16 | 400LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +17.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Feb 12-13 | 400LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +38.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Feb 12-13 | 400LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +21.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Feb 7-8 | 418LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +16.0 | Actual Trump (R) +19.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Feb 7-8 | 409LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +9.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +22.5 | Difference 13.5 |
| Feb 5-6 | 422LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +14.0 | Actual Trump (R) +19.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Feb 5-6 | 408LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +11.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +22.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Feb 3-4 | 420LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +22.0 | Actual Trump (R) +19.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Feb 3-4 | 409LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +16.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +22.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Jan 21-24 | 400LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +7.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +3.3 | Difference 10.3 |
| Jan 21-24 | 400LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 3.3 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-29 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hassan (D) +2.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +4.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 27-29 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 19-22 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hassan (D) +10.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +4.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 19-22 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +1.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 2.2 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2-4 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 5.6 |
| Nov 2-4 | 600LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Nov 2-4 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 6.4 |
| Oct 25-28 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 23-25 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 19-22 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 19-22 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 7.6 |
| Oct 18-21 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Mar 20-22 | 600LV | President (LA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +16.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +22.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Mar 17-18 | 600LV | President (IL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +14.0 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 2.3 |
| Mar 10-11 | 600LV | President (MS) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +1.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Mar 9-11 | 600LV | President (AL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.2 | Difference 15.2 |
| Mar 7-8 | 600LV | President (MS) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +15.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +1.6 | Difference 16.6 |
| Mar 3-5 | 600LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +20.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +21.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Mar 3-4 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +1.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Mar 1-3 | 600LV | President (TN) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +4.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +9.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Mar 1-2 | 600LV | President (OK) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +11.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| Feb 25-26 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +1.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +4.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 15.8 |
| Feb 21-22 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +4.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Feb 15-16 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Feb 13-14 | 600LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 12.8 |
| Feb 11-12 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Santorum (R) +6.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 9.2 |
| Jan 29-30 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +12.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Jan 27-28 | 750LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +11.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Jan 23-24 | 300LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Jan 23 | 300LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +3.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Jan 19-20 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +14.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Jan 17-18 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Gingrich (R) +1.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Jan 13-15 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +17.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Jan 11-12 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 16.6 |
| Jan 8-9 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +20.0 | Actual Romney (R) +16.4 | Difference 3.6 |
| Jan 6-7 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +24.0 | Actual Romney (R) +16.4 | Difference 7.6 |
| Dec 29-Jan 1 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +6.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Dec 26-28 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +11.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Dec 19-22 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +16.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 16.0 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15-17 | 600LV | Senate (MA) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (R) +7.0 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 2.2 |
| Jan 12-14 | 600LV | Senate (MA) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (R) +3.0 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 1.8 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 600LV | President (WV) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 600LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +12.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 600LV | President (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (AK) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +12.0 | Actual McCain (R) +21.5 | Difference 9.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (IN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +1.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 28-31 | 600LV | President (AR) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +19.9 | Difference 12.9 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +12.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +6.3 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lynch (D) +40.0 | Actual Lynch (D) +42.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.6 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (MT) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +3.0 | Actual McCain (R) +2.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual McCain (R) +0.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual McCain (R) +8.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 25-27 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 18-20 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 3.3 |
| May 31-Jun 1 | 600LV | President (SD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +26.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +10.7 | Difference 15.3 |
| May 31-Jun 1 | 600LV | President (MT) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +15.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| May 14-16 | 600LV | President (OR) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +18.0 | Difference 13.0 |
| May 14-15 | 600LV | President (KY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +36.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +35.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| May 7-8 | 600LV | President (WV) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +43.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +41.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| May 2-4 | 600LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| May 2-4 | 600LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.1 | Difference 6.9 |
| Apr 30-May 1 | 600LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Apr 30-May 1 | 600LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +9.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Apr 26-27 | 600LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Apr 23-24 | 600LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Apr 20-21 | 600LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +16.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 6.9 |
| Apr 17-19 | 600LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +13.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Apr 14-15 | 600LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Apr 11-13 | 600LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +20.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 10.9 |
| Apr 5-6 | 600LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 9.1 |
| Mar 9-10 | 600LV | President (MS) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.4 | Difference 8.4 |
| Mar 5-6 | 600LV | President (MS) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +24.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Mar 2-3 | 600LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +24.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 10.8 |
| Mar 2-3 | 600LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Mar 2-3 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +31.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 8.8 |
| Mar 2-3 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +14.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 5.3 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 600LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +35.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 21.8 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 600LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +33.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 10.8 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 1.7 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +39.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 25.8 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 10.5 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +42.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 19.8 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 9.2 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 11.2 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +10.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Feb 20-21 | 600LV | President (VT) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +64.0 | Actual McCain (R) +57.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Feb 20-21 | 600LV | President (VT) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +26.0 | Actual Obama (D) +20.7 | Difference 5.3 |
| Feb 20-21 | 600LV | President (RI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +47.0 | Actual McCain (R) +43.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Feb 20-21 | 600LV | President (RI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +12.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +18.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Feb 17-18 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 7.3 |
| Feb 17-18 | 600LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +17.8 | Difference 9.8 |
| Feb 15-16 | 600LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual McCain (R) +17.8 | Difference 13.8 |
| Feb 15-16 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 23.3 |
| Feb 13-14 | 600LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +6.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Feb 13-14 | 600LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 9.5 |
| Feb 10-11 | 600LV | President (VA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +9.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Feb 10-11 | 600LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.2 | Difference 11.2 |
| Feb 10-11 | 600LV | President (MD) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +26.0 | Actual McCain (R) +26.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Feb 10-11 | 600LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Feb 8-9 | 600LV | President (VA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +22.0 | Actual McCain (R) +9.4 | Difference 12.6 |
| Feb 8-9 | 600LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +18.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.2 | Difference 10.2 |
| Feb 8-9 | 600LV | President (MD) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +25.0 | Actual McCain (R) +26.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Feb 8-9 | 600LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +18.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.9 | Difference 6.9 |
| Feb 6-7 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 26.3 |
| Feb 3-4 | 600LV | President (TN) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +6.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +2.7 | Difference 3.3 |
| Feb 3-4 | 600LV | President (TN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +22.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.3 | Difference 8.7 |
| Feb 3-4 | 600LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.7 | Difference 9.7 |
| Feb 3-4 | 600LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +4.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Feb 1-2 | 600LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Feb 1-2 | 600LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (MO) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +1.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +1.4 | Difference 0.6 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (DE) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +6.0 | Actual McCain (R) +12.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (DE) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.8 | Difference 12.8 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (IL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +14.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.8 | Difference 4.8 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +31.9 | Difference 20.9 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (CT) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +18.0 | Actual McCain (R) +19.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (CT) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +4.0 | Difference 17.0 |
| Jan 27-28 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Jan 27-28 | 600LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +30.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 13.2 |
| Jan 25-26 | 600RV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Jan 25-26 | 600LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +33.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 16.2 |
| Jan 24-25 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 25.9 |
| Jan 23-24 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +5.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Jan 23-24 | 600LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +38.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 21.2 |
| Jan 22-23 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 19.9 |
| Jan 20-21 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Jan 20-21 | 600LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +38.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 21.2 |
| Jan 17-18 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 22.9 |
| Jan 17-18 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +3.3 | Difference 10.3 |
| Jan 15-16 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 22.9 |
| Jan 15-16 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +10.0 | Actual McCain (R) +3.3 | Difference 6.7 |
| Jan 12-14 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +1.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.2 | Difference 10.2 |
| Jan 9-14 | 600LV | President (NV) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +19.0 | Actual Romney (R) +37.4 | Difference 18.4 |
| Jan 9-14 | 600LV | President (NV) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Jan 9-11 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.2 | Difference 16.2 |
| Jan 6-7 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Jan 6-7 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Jan 4-5 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +14.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.4 | Difference 8.6 |
| Jan 4-5 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +12.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.6 | Difference 14.6 |
| Dec 31-Jan 2 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +5.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +9.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Dec 31-Jan 2 | 600LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Dec 26-28 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +9.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +9.2 | Difference 18.2 |
| Dec 26-28 | 600LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Dec 20-23 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +2.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +9.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Dec 20-23 | 600LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Dec 16-19 | 600LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee (R) +11.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +9.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Dec 16-19 | 600LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.7 | Difference 3.3 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 619LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +3.0 | Actual Hodes (D) +7.1 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 18-20 | 600LV | Senate (CT) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lieberman (I) +12.0 | Actual Lieberman (I) +10.0 | Difference 2.0 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +1.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +2.0 | Actual Bush (R) +5.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 27-30 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gregg (R) +40.0 | Actual Gregg (R) +32.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 27-30 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 27-30 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush (R) +0.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 27-30 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,258LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +2.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,258LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush (R) +2.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 25-27 | 600LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +0.4 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 25-27 | 600LV | President (OR) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +4.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +4.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 25-27 | 600LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 23-25 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +3.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +2.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 23-25 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +2.0 | Actual Bush (R) +2.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 23-25 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +2.0 | Actual Bush (R) +5.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 23-25 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +3.0 | Actual Bush (R) +5.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 16-19 | 600LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kerry (D) +0.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 16-18 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 16-18 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +1.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 16-18 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 16-18 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +2.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.8 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 14-15 | 320LV | House (PA-17) General election | Live Phone | Poll Holden (D) +12.0 | Actual Holden (D) +20.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +12.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +34.1 | Difference 22.1 |
| Feb 27-28 | 600LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +10.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +5.4 | Difference 4.6 |
| Feb 23-25 | 600LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +7.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +34.1 | Difference 27.1 |
| Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +8.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.6 |
| Feb 22-24 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +21.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +17.7 | Difference 3.3 |
| Feb 22-24 | 600LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +33.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +41.1 | Difference 8.1 |
| Feb 11-12 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +37.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +5.3 | Difference 31.7 |
| Feb 4-6 | 600LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +13.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +24.9 | Difference 11.9 |
| Feb 4-6 | 600LV | President (TN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +11.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +14.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +7.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +15.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Jan 31-Feb 1 | 600LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark (D) +7.0 | Actual Clark (D) +0.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark (D) +7.0 | Actual Clark (D) +0.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Jan 30-31 | 600LV | President (AZ) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +11.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +16.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Jan 29-31 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +7.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +15.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Jan 28-29 | 600LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +31.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +26.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Jan 28-29 | 600LV | President (DE) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +11.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +39.3 | Difference 28.3 |
| Jan 24-26 | 719LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +10.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +12.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Jan 21-23 | 700LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +19.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +12.1 | Difference 6.9 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2-3 | 300LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +22.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Nov 2-3 | 300LV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +11.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Nov 2-3 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +4.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Nov 2-3 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +15.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 300LV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +10.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 9.6 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +2.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +16.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 300LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +17.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 20-22 | 300LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +19.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 20-22 | 300LV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +14.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 20-22 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +2.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 20-22 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +19.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 14-16 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +29.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 8.6 |
| Oct 14-16 | 300LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +21.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 14-16 | 300LV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +19.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 14-16 | 600LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sununu (R) +8.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 3.6 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2-3 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +3.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Nov 2-3 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +10.0 | Actual Bush (R) +1.3 | Difference 8.7 |
| Nov 1 | 600LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Humphrey (R) +1.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +5.0 | Actual Bush (R) +1.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +6.0 | Actual Bush (R) +3.9 | Difference 9.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +6.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +4.0 | Actual Gore (D) +5.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 20-24 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 20-24 | 600LV | President (OR) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +4.0 | Actual Gore (D) +0.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 20-24 | 600LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +3.0 | Actual Gore (D) +5.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 20-24 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +4.0 | Actual Bush (R) +0.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +22.0 | Actual Bush (R) +21.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Feb 27-29 | 600LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +39.0 | Actual Bush (R) +39.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Feb 22-24 | 600LV | President (VA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +8.0 | Actual Bush (R) +8.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Feb 19-21 | 600LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +6.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Feb 13-15 | 627LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +6.0 | Actual Bush (R) +11.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Feb 9-11 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +7.0 | Actual Bush (R) +11.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Feb 2-3 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +3.0 | Actual Bush (R) +11.5 | Difference 14.5 |
| Jan 29-31 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 20.2 |
| Jan 29-31 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Jan 26-28 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +7.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Jan 26-28 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 16.2 |
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