Polls analyzed | 19 |
Races called correctly | 95% |
Most recent cycle | 2010 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Blum & Weprin Associates?
2010
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22-27 | 673LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perry (R) +12.0 | Actual Perry (R) +12.7 | Difference 0.7 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29-Nov 1 | 1,002LV | Senate (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cornyn (R) +9.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +12.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 29-Nov 1 | 1,002LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perry (R) +12.0 | Actual Perry (R) +17.8 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 28-Nov 1 | 1,052LV | Governor (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pataki (R) +16.0 | Actual Pataki (R) +15.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 13-17 | 600LV | Senate (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cornyn (R) +10.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +12.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 13-17 | 1,002LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perry (R) +15.0 | Actual Perry (R) +17.8 | Difference 2.8 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 31-Nov 4 | 851LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +12.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 4 | 851LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +20.0 | Actual Gore (D) +25.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 30-Nov 3 | 883LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +12.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 30-Nov 3 | 883LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +24.0 | Actual Gore (D) +25.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 23-25 | 850LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +12.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 23-25 | 844LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +24.0 | Actual Gore (D) +25.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Feb 27-Mar 3 | 579LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +8.0 | Actual Bush (R) +7.6 | Difference 0.4 |
Feb 27-Mar 3 | 402LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +35.0 | Actual Gore (D) +32.2 | Difference 2.8 |
1998
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-30 | 662LV | Governor (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pataki (R) +26.0 | Actual Pataki (R) +21.2 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 25-30 | 662LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schumer (D) +4.0 | Actual Schumer (D) +10.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Oct 28 | 967LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +47.0 | Actual Bush (R) +37.1 | Difference 9.9 |
Oct 12-13 | 364LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll D'Amato (R) +8.0 | Actual Schumer (D) +10.5 | Difference 18.5 |
Oct 12-13 | 364LV | Governor (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pataki (R) +31.0 | Actual Pataki (R) +21.2 | Difference 9.8 |
Comments