A/B
| Polls analyzed | 13 |
| Races called correctly | 100% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Christopher Newport University?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-27 | 908LV | Senate (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Warner (D) +20.0 | Actual Warner (D) +12.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 15-27 | 908LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Biden (D) +12.0 | Actual Biden (D) +10.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 8-18 | 807LV | House (VA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Luria (D) +7.0 | Actual Luria (D) +5.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Feb 3-24 | 561LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Biden (D) +5.0 | Actual Biden (D) +30.2 | Difference 25.2 |
2018
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-27 | 871LV | House (VA-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Spanberger (D) +1.0 | Actual Spanberger (D) +1.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 18-27 | 790LV | House (VA-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Spanberger (D) +3.0 | Actual Spanberger (D) +1.9 | Difference 1.1 |
2017
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29-Nov 4 | 839LV | Governor (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Northam (D) +6.0 | Actual Northam (D) +8.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 20-25 | 812LV | Governor (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Northam (D) +7.0 | Actual Northam (D) +8.9 | Difference 1.9 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1-6 | 1,193LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 23-26 | 814LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 16-19 | 834LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +12.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.3 | Difference 6.7 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23-29 | 634LV | Senate (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Warner (D) +7.0 | Actual Warner (D) +0.8 | Difference 6.2 |
2013
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-30 | 1,038LV | Governor (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll McAuliffe (D) +7.0 | Actual McAuliffe (D) +2.5 | Difference 4.5 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-21 | 490LV | House (VA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Rigell (R) +1.0 | Actual Rigell (R) +10.7 | Difference 9.7 |
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