Polls analyzed | 20 |
Races called correctly | 95% |
Most recent cycle | 2016 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Ciruli Associates?
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29-31 | 550LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +4.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 29-31 | 550LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton (D) +4.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 29-31 | 550LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bennet (D) +8.0 | Actual Bennet (D) +5.7 | Difference 2.3 |
2006
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 20-22 | 501LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ritter (D) +19.0 | Actual Ritter (D) +16.8 | Difference 2.2 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 15-19 | 600RV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +7.0 | Actual Bush (R) +4.7 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 15-19 | 600RV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +6.0 | Actual Bush (R) +4.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Oct 15-19 | 600RV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Salazar (D) +4.0 | Actual Salazar (D) +4.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 9-15 | 400LV | House (CO-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Musgrave (R) +17.0 | Actual Musgrave (R) +6.3 | Difference 10.7 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29-Nov 1 | 400LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +36.0 | Actual Owens (R) +29.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Strickland (D) +4.0 | Actual Allard (R) +4.9 | Difference 8.9 |
Oct 25-28 | 400LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Allard (R) +2.0 | Actual Allard (R) +4.9 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 25-28 | 400LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +36.0 | Actual Owens (R) +29.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 21-24 | 400LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Allard (R) +8.0 | Actual Allard (R) +4.9 | Difference 3.1 |
Oct 21-24 | 600LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Allard (R) +5.0 | Actual Allard (R) +4.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 20-23 | 400LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +37.0 | Actual Owens (R) +29.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Oct 19-22 | 600LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +28.0 | Actual Owens (R) +29.0 | Difference 1.0 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 31-Nov 3 | 400LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +9.0 | Actual Bush (R) +8.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 27-30 | 400LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +9.0 | Actual Bush (R) +8.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 23-26 | 400LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +10.0 | Actual Bush (R) +8.4 | Difference 1.6 |
1998
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 28 | 500LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +4.0 | Actual Owens (R) +0.6 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 23-26 | 400LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Campbell (R) +29.0 | Actual Campbell (R) +27.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 22 | 500LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens (R) +6.0 | Actual Owens (R) +0.6 | Difference 5.4 |
Oct 19-22 | 400LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Campbell (R) +31.0 | Actual Campbell (R) +27.5 | Difference 3.5 |
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