Polls analyzed | 16 |
Races called correctly | 56% |
Most recent cycle | 2017 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies?
2017
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apr 14-15 | 453LV | House (GA-6) Special jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Ossoff (D) +26.0 | Actual Ossoff (D) +28.4 | Difference 2.4 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 3-4 | 981LV | Governor (OR) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +11.1 | Actual Brown (D) +7.2 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 20-21 | 928LV | Governor (OR) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +2.0 | Actual Brown (D) +7.2 | Difference 5.2 |
Apr 27 | 423LV | President (IN) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +1.9 | Actual Trump (R) +16.6 | Difference 14.7 |
2013
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21-23 | 640LV | Governor (VA) General election | IVR | Poll McAuliffe (D) +1.0 | Actual McAuliffe (D) +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 30-31 | 1,074LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Thompson (R) +2.0 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,281LV | Senate (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Mandel (R) +5.0 | Actual Brown (D) +6.0 | Difference 11.0 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,281LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 6.0 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,074LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 23-24 | 600LV | House (PA-12) General election | IVR | Poll Rothfus (R) +5.0 | Actual Rothfus (R) +3.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 23-24 | 600LV | House (NC-7) General election | IVR | Poll Rouzer (R) +6.0 | Actual McIntyre (D) +0.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Oct 23-24 | 776LV | House (KY-6) General election | IVR | Poll Barr (R) +4.0 | Actual Barr (R) +3.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 22-23 | 1,000LV | Senate (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Casey (D) +1.2 | Actual Casey (D) +9.1 | Difference 7.9 |
Oct 19-20 | 1,000LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Allen (R) +3.3 | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 9.2 |
Oct 19-20 | 1,000LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 5.9 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-19 | 1,262LV | House (WA-6) General election | IVR | Poll Cloud (R) +4.1 | Actual Dicks (D) +16.1 | Difference 20.2 |
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