B/C
| Polls analyzed | 7 |
| Races called correctly | 86% |
| Most recent cycle | 2008 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Constituent Dynamics?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24-26 | 1,089RV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +27.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 13.8 |
| Feb 24-26 | 822RV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Feb 17-19 | 600RV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +22.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 8.8 |
| Feb 17-19 | 600RV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Feb 7-8 | 1,194LV | President (DC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +36.0 | Actual Obama (D) +51.5 | Difference 15.5 |
| Feb 7-8 | 6,596LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.2 | Difference 11.2 |
| Feb 7-8 | 6,486LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.9 | Difference 7.9 |
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