Polls analyzed | 7 |
Races called correctly | 86% |
Most recent cycle | 2008 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Constituent Dynamics?
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 24-26 | 1,089RV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +27.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 13.8 |
Feb 24-26 | 822RV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Feb 17-19 | 600RV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +22.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 8.8 |
Feb 17-19 | 600RV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
Feb 7-8 | 1,194LV | President (DC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +36.0 | Actual Obama (D) +51.5 | Difference 15.5 |
Feb 7-8 | 6,596LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.2 | Difference 11.2 |
Feb 7-8 | 6,486LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.9 | Difference 7.9 |
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