Polls analyzed | 13 |
Races called correctly | 96% |
Most recent cycle | 2020 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Data Orbital?
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 28-30 | 550LV | Senate (AZ) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Kelly (D) +1.1 | Actual Kelly (D) +2.3 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 28-30 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Biden (D) +0.6 | Actual Biden (D) +0.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Oct 16-18 | 550LV | Senate (AZ) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Kelly (D) +6.2 | Actual Kelly (D) +2.3 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 16-18 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Biden (D) +5.2 | Actual Biden (D) +0.3 | Difference 4.9 |
2018
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 16-17 | 600LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sinema (D) +8.2 | Actual Sinema (D) +2.3 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 16-17 | 600LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sinema (D) +5.4 | Actual Sinema (D) +2.3 | Difference 3.1 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 4-6 | 550LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +12.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Nov 4-6 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Nov 1-2 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +8.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Nov 1-2 | 550LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 29-30 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Oct 29-30 | 550LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +10.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 26-27 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 17-18 | 550LV | President (AZ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 3.5 |
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