Pollster Ratings - Dixie Strategies

Dixie Strategies

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	11
Races called correctly	95%
Most recent cycle	2018
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 29-30	843LV	House (NY-25) Special election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Morelle (D) +9.1	Actual Morelle (D) +17.3	Difference 8.2
Oct 29-30	801LV	House (NY-27) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Collins (R) +7.2	Actual Collins (R) +0.4	Difference 6.9
Oct 25-26	588LV	Governor (TX) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Abbott (R) +26.0	Actual Abbott (R) +13.3	Difference 12.7
Oct 25-26	588LV	Senate (TX) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Cruz (R) +10.0	Actual Cruz (R) +2.6	Difference 7.4
Oct 25	936LV	House (UT-4) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll McAdams (D) +6.5	Actual McAdams (D) +0.3	Difference 6.2

2016

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 27-29	980LV	President (TX) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Trump (R) +12.1	Actual Trump (R) +9.0	Difference 3.1
Oct 25-26	698LV	President (FL) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Trump (R) +3.3	Actual Trump (R) +1.2	Difference 2.1
Oct 25-26	698LV	Senate (FL) General election	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Rubio (R) +5.6	Actual Rubio (R) +7.7	Difference 2.1
Feb 22	725LV	President (TX) Republican primary	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Cruz (R) +8.4	Actual Cruz (R) +17.0	Difference 8.6
Feb 22	625LV	President (TX) Democratic primary	IVR/Live Phone	Poll Clinton (D) +31.4	Actual Clinton (D) +32.0	Difference 0.5

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Jan 23-25	2,567LV	President (FL) Republican primary	IVR	Poll Even	Actual Romney (R) +14.5	Difference 14.5