A/B
| Polls analyzed | 25 |
| Races called correctly | 100% |
| Most recent cycle | 2016 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26-31 | 571LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +7.0 | Difference 5.0 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-28 | 941LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +21.0 | Actual Brown (D) +19.9 | Difference 1.1 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17-30 | 1,566LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feinstein (D) +21.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +25.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 17-30 | 1,566LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +23.1 | Difference 8.1 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14-26 | 1,092LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Boxer (D) +8.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 14-26 | 1,092LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +10.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 2.9 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-28 | 966LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +22.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Jan 25-Feb 1 | 481LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Jan 25-Feb 1 | 511LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Jan 14-20 | 377LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Jan 14-20 | 377LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual McCain (R) +7.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Jan 14-20 | 377LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +12.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.3 | Difference 3.7 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23-30 | 795LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schwarzenegger (R) +16.0 | Actual Schwarzenegger (R) +17.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 23-30 | 795LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feinstein (D) +22.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +24.4 | Difference 2.4 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21-27 | 1,086LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Boxer (D) +19.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +19.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 21-27 | 1,086LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +7.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +9.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Feb 18-22 | 497LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +41.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +44.7 | Difference 3.7 |
2003
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25-Oct 1 | 894LV | Governor (CA) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Schwarzenegger (R) +10.0 | Actual Schwarzenegger (R) +17.1 | Difference 7.1 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-30 | 740LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Davis (D) +7.0 | Actual Davis (D) +4.9 | Difference 2.1 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1-5 | 924LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Gore (D) +11.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 27-31 | 900LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feinstein (D) +20.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +19.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 27-31 | 990LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +7.0 | Actual Gore (D) +11.8 | Difference 4.8 |
| Feb 22-27 | 389LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +20.0 | Actual Bush (R) +9.3 | Difference 10.7 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-27 | 678LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Boxer (D) +9.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 22-27 | 678LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Davis (D) +14.0 | Actual Davis (D) +19.6 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 17 | 809LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Davis (D) +7.0 | Actual Davis (D) +19.6 | Difference 12.6 |
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