Polls analyzed | 17 |
Races called correctly | 85% |
Most recent cycle | 2004 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Franklin Pierce University?
2004
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-28 | 617LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gregg (R) +40.0 | Actual Gregg (R) +32.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Oct 25-28 | 617LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lynch (D) +1.0 | Actual Lynch (D) +2.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Oct 25-28 | 617LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +7.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 5.6 |
Oct 18-21 | 617LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gregg (R) +33.0 | Actual Gregg (R) +32.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Oct 18-21 | 617LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Lynch (D) +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 18-21 | 617LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +9.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 7.6 |
Jan 20-22 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +14.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +12.1 | Difference 1.9 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 27-30 | 466RV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +7.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 12.6 |
Oct 27-30 | 933RV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +8.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 12.4 |
Oct 27-30 | 933RV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 9.4 |
Oct 25-27 | 468LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +19.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 3.0 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22-25 | 885RV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +3.0 | Actual Bush (R) +1.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Oct 24 | 885LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +21.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Difference 16.0 |
Jan 28-30 | 506LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 7.2 |
Jan 28-30 | 355LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +6.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 1.9 |
Jan 23-26 | 447LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +15.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 10.9 |
Jan 23-26 | 447LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 10.2 |
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