B/C
| Polls analyzed | 17 |
| Races called correctly | 85% |
| Most recent cycle | 2004 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Franklin Pierce University?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2004
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-28 | 617LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gregg (R) +40.0 | Actual Gregg (R) +32.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 617LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lynch (D) +1.0 | Actual Lynch (D) +2.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 25-28 | 617LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +7.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 18-21 | 617LV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gregg (R) +33.0 | Actual Gregg (R) +32.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 18-21 | 617LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Lynch (D) +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 18-21 | 617LV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +9.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +1.4 | Difference 7.6 |
| Jan 20-22 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +14.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +12.1 | Difference 1.9 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-30 | 466RV | House (NH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bradley (R) +7.0 | Actual Bradley (R) +19.6 | Difference 12.6 |
| Oct 27-30 | 933RV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Benson (R) +8.0 | Actual Benson (R) +20.4 | Difference 12.4 |
| Oct 27-30 | 933RV | Senate (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +4.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Oct 25-27 | 468LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bass (R) +19.0 | Actual Bass (R) +16.0 | Difference 3.0 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-25 | 885RV | President (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +3.0 | Actual Bush (R) +1.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 24 | 885LV | Governor (NH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shaheen (D) +21.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Difference 16.0 |
| Jan 28-30 | 506LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Jan 28-30 | 355LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +6.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Jan 23-26 | 447LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +15.0 | Actual Gore (D) +4.1 | Difference 10.9 |
| Jan 23-26 | 447LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.2 | Difference 10.2 |
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