B/C
| Polls analyzed | 13 |
| Races called correctly | 58% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Hamilton Campaigns?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-18 | 400LV | House (NC-11) General election | Live Phone | Poll Davis (D) +3.0 | Actual Cawthorn (R) +12.2 | Difference 15.2 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24-26 | 400LV | House (MI-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Upton (R) +4.0 | Actual Upton (R) +15.5 | Difference 11.5 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19-22 | 800LV | Senate (CT) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +6.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +11.8 | Difference 5.8 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ford (D) +6.0 | Actual Corker (R) +2.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Oct 21-24 | 800LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ford (D) +2.0 | Actual Corker (R) +2.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 17-23 | 400LV | House (FL-13) General election | Live Phone | Poll Jennings (D) +11.0 | Actual Buchanan (R) +0.2 | Difference 11.2 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +2.0 | Actual Bush (R) +5.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Martinez (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 14-15 | 400LV | House (TX-32) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sessions (R) +1.0 | Actual Sessions (R) +10.3 | Difference 9.3 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14-15 | 400LV | House (OK-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cole (R) +1.0 | Actual Cole (R) +7.7 | Difference 6.7 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-22 | 500LV | Senate (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gorton (R) +4.0 | Actual Cantwell (D) +0.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 20-22 | 500LV | President (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +6.0 | Actual Gore (D) +5.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 20-22 | 500LV | Governor (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Locke (D) +24.0 | Actual Locke (D) +18.7 | Difference 5.3 |
Show all
Comments