Polls analyzed | 11 |
Races called correctly | 77% |
Most recent cycle | 2014 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Harstad Strategic Research Inc.?
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-23 | 1,004LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Udall (D) +1.0 | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 18-22 | 700LV | Senate (AK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Sullivan (R) +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21-24 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Casey (D) +12.0 | Actual Casey (D) +9.1 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 15-17 | 603LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCaskill (D) +12.0 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 3.7 |
2008
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-22 | 503LV | Senate (ID) General election | Live Phone | Poll Risch (R) +12.0 | Actual Risch (R) +23.5 | Difference 11.5 |
Oct 19-22 | 503LV | President (ID) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +23.0 | Actual McCain (R) +25.4 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 19-22 | 273LV | House (ID-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Minnick (D) +7.0 | Actual Minnick (D) +1.2 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 19-22 | 230LV | House (ID-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Simpson (R) +44.0 | Actual Simpson (R) +42.0 | Difference 2.0 |
2006
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24-25 | 662LV | Senate (MT) General election | Live Phone | Poll Tester (D) +6.0 | Actual Tester (D) +0.9 | Difference 5.1 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 17-18 | 515LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Salazar (D) +6.0 | Actual Salazar (D) +4.8 | Difference 1.2 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 14-15 | 400LV | House (CO-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feeley (D) +1.0 | Actual Beauprez (R) +0.1 | Difference 1.1 |
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