B/C
| Polls analyzed | 13 |
| Races called correctly | 88% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from JMC Analytics?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28-29 | 500LV | Senate (GA) Runoff | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Ossoff (D) +8.0 | Actual Ossoff (D) +1.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Dec 28-29 | 500LV | Senate (GA) Special runoff | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Warnock (D) +9.0 | Actual Warnock (D) +2.1 | Difference 6.9 |
2019
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12-13 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +0.5 | Actual Edwards (D) +2.7 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 5-8 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +9.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +19.2 | Difference 10.2 |
| Oct 5-8 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +22.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +19.2 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 3-5 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +25.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +19.2 | Difference 5.8 |
2017
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27-28 | 650LV | Senate (AL) Special election | IVR | Poll Moore (R) +5.0 | Actual Jones (D) +1.6 | Difference 6.6 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton (D) +2.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 28-Nov 1 | 600LV | Senate (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cortez Masto (D) +2.0 | Actual Cortez Masto (D) +2.4 | Difference 0.4 |
2015
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19 | 614LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | IVR | Poll Edwards (D) +4.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Nov 14-16 | 635LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | IVR | Poll Edwards (D) +16.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 3.8 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20 | 754LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | IVR | Poll Cassidy (R) +15.0 | Actual Cassidy (R) +11.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Nov 17 | 793LV | House (LA-6) Runoff | IVR | Poll Graves (R) +26.0 | Actual Graves (R) +24.9 | Difference 1.1 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-23 | 467LV | House (MS-2) General election | IVR | Poll Thompson (D) +1.0 | Actual Thompson (D) +23.8 | Difference 22.8 |
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