B/C
| Polls analyzed | 18 |
| Races called correctly | 72% |
| Most recent cycle | 2016 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Loras College?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +5.4 | Actual Trump (R) +9.4 | Difference 4.0 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Grassley (R) +16.2 | Actual Grassley (R) +24.4 | Difference 8.2 |
| Nov 1-3 | 417LV | House (IA-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Young (R) +5.0 | Actual Young (R) +13.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Nov 1-3 | 415LV | House (IA-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blum (R) +6.0 | Actual Blum (R) +7.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +0.8 | Actual Trump (R) +9.4 | Difference 10.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +1.8 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +1.5 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 26-27 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +11.2 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.1 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 26-27 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +11.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Oct 26-27 | 600LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Duckworth (D) +8.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +15.1 | Difference 7.1 |
| Mar 28-29 | 416LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Cruz (R) +7.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +13.2 | Difference 6.2 |
| Mar 28-29 | 416LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +13.5 | Difference 19.5 |
| Jan 13-18 | 500LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +1.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +3.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Jan 13-18 | 500LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +29.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 28.7 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21-24 | 280LV | House (IA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +12.1 | Actual King (R) +23.3 | Difference 11.2 |
| Oct 21-24 | 280LV | House (IA-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Young (R) +2.1 | Actual Young (R) +10.5 | Difference 8.4 |
| Oct 21-24 | 279LV | House (IA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Loebsack (D) +13.4 | Actual Loebsack (D) +5.1 | Difference 8.3 |
| Oct 21-24 | 282LV | House (IA-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blum (R) +1.5 | Actual Blum (R) +2.3 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 21-24 | 1,121LV | Governor (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Branstad (R) +20.8 | Actual Branstad (R) +21.7 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 21-24 | 1,121LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Braley (D) +1.1 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 9.4 |
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