Polls analyzed | 18 |
Races called correctly | 72% |
Most recent cycle | 2016 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Loras College?
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +5.4 | Actual Trump (R) +9.4 | Difference 4.0 |
Nov 1-3 | 500LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Grassley (R) +16.2 | Actual Grassley (R) +24.4 | Difference 8.2 |
Nov 1-3 | 417LV | House (IA-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Young (R) +5.0 | Actual Young (R) +13.7 | Difference 8.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 415LV | House (IA-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blum (R) +6.0 | Actual Blum (R) +7.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +0.8 | Actual Trump (R) +9.4 | Difference 10.2 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +1.8 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.2 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 6.8 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +1.5 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 26-27 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +11.2 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.1 | Difference 5.9 |
Oct 26-27 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +11.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.1 | Difference 6.1 |
Oct 26-27 | 600LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Duckworth (D) +8.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +15.1 | Difference 7.1 |
Mar 28-29 | 416LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Cruz (R) +7.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +13.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Mar 28-29 | 416LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +13.5 | Difference 19.5 |
Jan 13-18 | 500LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +1.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +3.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Jan 13-18 | 500LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +29.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 28.7 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21-24 | 280LV | House (IA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +12.1 | Actual King (R) +23.3 | Difference 11.2 |
Oct 21-24 | 280LV | House (IA-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Young (R) +2.1 | Actual Young (R) +10.5 | Difference 8.4 |
Oct 21-24 | 279LV | House (IA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Loebsack (D) +13.4 | Actual Loebsack (D) +5.1 | Difference 8.3 |
Oct 21-24 | 282LV | House (IA-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blum (R) +1.5 | Actual Blum (R) +2.3 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 21-24 | 1,121LV | Governor (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Branstad (R) +20.8 | Actual Branstad (R) +21.7 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 21-24 | 1,121LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Braley (D) +1.1 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 9.4 |
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