Pollster Ratings - Montana State University Billings

Montana State University Billings

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	11
Races called correctly	59%
Most recent cycle	2020
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 19-24	546LV	House (MT-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Rosendale (R) +1.0	Actual Rosendale (R) +12.8	Difference 11.8
Oct 19-24	546LV	Governor (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Even	Actual Gianforte (R) +12.9	Difference 12.9
Oct 19-24	546LV	Senate (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bullock (D) +1.0	Actual Daines (R) +10.0	Difference 11.0
Oct 19-24	546LV	President (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Trump (R) +7.0	Actual Trump (R) +16.4	Difference 9.4

2008

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 16-20	403LV	House (MT-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Rehberg (R) +33.9	Actual Rehberg (R) +31.7	Difference 2.2
Oct 16-20	403LV	President (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Obama (D) +4.0	Actual McCain (R) +2.3	Difference 6.3
Oct 16-20	403LV	Governor (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Schweitzer (D) +32.9	Actual Schweitzer (D) +33.0	Difference 0.1

2000

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 19-23	403LV	House (MT-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Rehberg (R) +2.0	Actual Rehberg (R) +5.2	Difference 3.2
Oct 19-23	403LV	Senate (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Schweitzer (D) +2.0	Actual Burns (R) +3.3	Difference 5.3
Oct 19-23	403LV	Governor (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll O'Keefe (D) +3.0	Actual Martz (R) +3.9	Difference 6.9
Oct 19-23	403LV	President (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +18.0	Actual Bush (R) +25.1	Difference 7.1
Oct 19-23	403LV	President (MT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +24.0	Actual Bush (R) +25.1	Difference 1.1