Polls analyzed | 24 |
Races called correctly | 83% |
Most recent cycle | 2014 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from MRG Research?
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 16-19 | 517LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Gabbard (D) +50.0 | Actual Gabbard (D) +60.1 | Difference 10.1 |
Oct 16-19 | 604LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Takai (D) +3.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 16-19 | 1,221LV | Governor (HI) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Ige (D) +6.0 | Actual Ige (D) +12.4 | Difference 6.4 |
Oct 16-19 | 1,221LV | Senate (HI) Special election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Schatz (D) +26.0 | Actual Schatz (D) +42.1 | Difference 16.1 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24-26 | 657LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR | Poll Hanabusa (D) +11.0 | Actual Hanabusa (D) +9.2 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 26 | 1,218LV | Senate (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Hirono (D) +15.0 | Actual Hirono (D) +25.2 | Difference 10.2 |
Oct 26 | 1,218LV | President (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +27.0 | Actual Obama (D) +42.7 | Difference 15.7 |
Oct 24-26 | 562LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR | Poll Gabbard (D) +58.0 | Actual Gabbard (D) +61.1 | Difference 3.1 |
Mar 4 | 832LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +1.0 | Difference 4.0 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 28-31 | 911LV | House (CT-5) General election | IVR | Poll Caligiuri (R) +8.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +8.1 | Difference 16.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 397LV | House (CT-3) General election | IVR | Poll DeLauro (D) +18.1 | Actual DeLauro (D) +31.5 | Difference 13.4 |
Oct 24-26 | 388LV | House (CT-2) General election | IVR | Poll Courtney (D) +19.0 | Actual Courtney (D) +21.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 423LV | House (CT-1) General election | IVR | Poll Larson (D) +18.0 | Actual Larson (D) +24.1 | Difference 6.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,846LV | Senate (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Blumenthal (D) +8.0 | Actual Blumenthal (D) +11.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,846LV | Governor (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Malloy (D) +0.6 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 595LV | House (CT-5) General election | IVR | Poll Caligiuri (R) +1.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +8.1 | Difference 9.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 423LV | House (WA-2) General election | IVR | Poll Larsen (D) +18.0 | Actual Larsen (D) +2.1 | Difference 15.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 571LV | House (CT-4) General election | IVR | Poll Debicella (R) +2.0 | Actual Himes (D) +6.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Oct 23 | 1,181LV | Governor (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Abercrombie (D) +5.0 | Actual Abercrombie (D) +17.1 | Difference 12.1 |
Oct 23 | 560LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR | Poll Hirono (D) +23.5 | Actual Hirono (D) +46.9 | Difference 23.4 |
Oct 23 | 620LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR | Poll Hanabusa (D) +5.0 | Actual Hanabusa (D) +6.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 23 | 1,181LV | Senate (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Inouye (D) +32.1 | Actual Inouye (D) +53.2 | Difference 21.1 |
May 6-7 | 1,081LV | House (HI-1) Special jungle primary | IVR | Poll Djou (R) +14.0 | Actual Djou (R) +8.7 | Difference 5.3 |
Jan 15 | 565LV | Senate (MA) Special election | IVR | Poll Brown (R) +9.6 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 4.8 |
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