B/C
| Polls analyzed | 24 |
| Races called correctly | 83% |
| Most recent cycle | 2014 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from MRG Research?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16-19 | 517LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Gabbard (D) +50.0 | Actual Gabbard (D) +60.1 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 16-19 | 604LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Takai (D) +3.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 16-19 | 1,221LV | Governor (HI) General election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Ige (D) +6.0 | Actual Ige (D) +12.4 | Difference 6.4 |
| Oct 16-19 | 1,221LV | Senate (HI) Special election | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Schatz (D) +26.0 | Actual Schatz (D) +42.1 | Difference 16.1 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24-26 | 657LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR | Poll Hanabusa (D) +11.0 | Actual Hanabusa (D) +9.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 26 | 1,218LV | Senate (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Hirono (D) +15.0 | Actual Hirono (D) +25.2 | Difference 10.2 |
| Oct 26 | 1,218LV | President (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +27.0 | Actual Obama (D) +42.7 | Difference 15.7 |
| Oct 24-26 | 562LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR | Poll Gabbard (D) +58.0 | Actual Gabbard (D) +61.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| Mar 4 | 832LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +1.0 | Difference 4.0 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28-31 | 911LV | House (CT-5) General election | IVR | Poll Caligiuri (R) +8.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +8.1 | Difference 16.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 397LV | House (CT-3) General election | IVR | Poll DeLauro (D) +18.1 | Actual DeLauro (D) +31.5 | Difference 13.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 388LV | House (CT-2) General election | IVR | Poll Courtney (D) +19.0 | Actual Courtney (D) +21.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 423LV | House (CT-1) General election | IVR | Poll Larson (D) +18.0 | Actual Larson (D) +24.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,846LV | Senate (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Blumenthal (D) +8.0 | Actual Blumenthal (D) +11.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,846LV | Governor (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Malloy (D) +0.6 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 595LV | House (CT-5) General election | IVR | Poll Caligiuri (R) +1.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +8.1 | Difference 9.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 423LV | House (WA-2) General election | IVR | Poll Larsen (D) +18.0 | Actual Larsen (D) +2.1 | Difference 15.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 571LV | House (CT-4) General election | IVR | Poll Debicella (R) +2.0 | Actual Himes (D) +6.1 | Difference 8.1 |
| Oct 23 | 1,181LV | Governor (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Abercrombie (D) +5.0 | Actual Abercrombie (D) +17.1 | Difference 12.1 |
| Oct 23 | 560LV | House (HI-2) General election | IVR | Poll Hirono (D) +23.5 | Actual Hirono (D) +46.9 | Difference 23.4 |
| Oct 23 | 620LV | House (HI-1) General election | IVR | Poll Hanabusa (D) +5.0 | Actual Hanabusa (D) +6.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 23 | 1,181LV | Senate (HI) General election | IVR | Poll Inouye (D) +32.1 | Actual Inouye (D) +53.2 | Difference 21.1 |
| May 6-7 | 1,081LV | House (HI-1) Special jungle primary | IVR | Poll Djou (R) +14.0 | Actual Djou (R) +8.7 | Difference 5.3 |
| Jan 15 | 565LV | Senate (MA) Special election | IVR | Poll Brown (R) +9.6 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 4.8 |
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