Pollster Ratings - MSR Group

MSR Group

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	6
Races called correctly	100%
Most recent cycle	2004
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 18-20	250LV	House (NE-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Terry (R) +24.0	Actual Terry (R) +24.9	Difference 0.9
Oct 18-20	250LV	House (NE-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Fortenberry (R) +6.0	Actual Fortenberry (R) +11.2	Difference 5.2
Oct 18-20	754LV	President (NE) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +29.0	Actual Bush (R) +33.2	Difference 4.2

2002

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 23-28	196LV	House (NE-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Terry (R) +21.0	Actual Terry (R) +30.3	Difference 9.3
Oct 23-28	604LV	Senate (NE) General election	Live Phone	Poll Hagel (R) +72.0	Actual Hagel (R) +68.1	Difference 3.9
Oct 23-28	604LV	Governor (NE) General election	Live Phone	Poll Johanns (R) +50.0	Actual Johanns (R) +41.2	Difference 8.8