Polls analyzed | 12 |
Races called correctly | 100% |
Most recent cycle | 2008 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from National Journal?
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 23-27 | 402RV | President (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 3.7 |
Oct 23-27 | 408RV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 23-27 | 409RV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 23-27 | 404RV | Senate (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Warner (D) +29.0 | Actual Warner (D) +31.3 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 23-27 | 402RV | Senate (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hagan (D) +2.0 | Actual Hagan (D) +8.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Oct 23-27 | 409RV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Udall (D) +15.0 | Actual Udall (D) +10.3 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 23-27 | 404RV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.3 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 23-27 | 404RV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +4.6 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 16-20 | 402RV | President (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.2 | Difference 0.2 |
Oct 16-20 | 412RV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Oct 16-20 | 402RV | Senate (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Franken (D) +1.0 | Actual Franken (D) +0.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 16-20 | 405RV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +13.9 | Difference 0.9 |
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