B/C
| Polls analyzed | 9 |
| Races called correctly | 94% |
| Most recent cycle | 2016 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-24 | 400RV | President (NE-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +2.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 22-24 | 400RV | House (NE-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bacon (R) +4.0 | Actual Bacon (R) +1.2 | Difference 2.8 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12-15 | 600LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Alexander (R) +37.0 | Actual Alexander (R) +33.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 12-15 | 600LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +15.0 | Actual McCain (R) +15.1 | Difference 0.1 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14-17 | 900LV | Governor (AL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Riley (R) +1.0 | Actual Riley (R) +0.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 14-17 | 600LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Alexander (R) +16.0 | Actual Alexander (R) +9.9 | Difference 6.1 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9-10 | 300LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +22.0 | Actual Bush (R) +10.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Jan 9-10 | 300LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +15.0 | Actual Gore (D) +26.3 | Difference 11.3 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26-29 | 600LV | Senate (SC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Inglis (R) +1.0 | Actual Hollings (D) +7.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 26-29 | 600LV | Senate (SC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hollings (D) +1.0 | Actual Hollings (D) +7.0 | Difference 6.0 |
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