Polls analyzed | 17 |
Races called correctly | 94% |
Most recent cycle | 2014 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Pan Atlantic Research?
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 15-21 | 207LV | House (ME-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pingree (D) +43.7 | Actual Pingree (D) +29.8 | Difference 13.9 |
Oct 15-21 | 400LV | Governor (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll LePage (R) +0.6 | Actual LePage (R) +4.8 | Difference 4.2 |
Oct 15-21 | 400LV | Senate (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Collins (R) +39.6 | Actual Collins (R) +37.0 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 15-21 | 193LV | House (ME-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cain (D) +1.2 | Actual Poliquin (R) +5.2 | Difference 6.4 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-27 | 400LV | Governor (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll LePage (R) +6.2 | Actual LePage (R) +11.2 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 11-15 | 501LV | Governor (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll LePage (R) +18.9 | Actual LePage (R) +11.2 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 11-15 | 250LV | House (ME-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Michaud (D) +20.0 | Actual Michaud (D) +10.3 | Difference 9.7 |
Oct 11-15 | 250LV | House (ME-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pingree (D) +16.0 | Actual Pingree (D) +13.6 | Difference 2.4 |
2008
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 13-16 | 207LV | House (ME-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pingree (D) +11.0 | Actual Pingree (D) +9.8 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 13-16 | 400LV | Senate (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Collins (R) +21.0 | Actual Collins (R) +22.7 | Difference 1.7 |
Oct 13-16 | 400LV | President (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +12.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 13-16 | 193LV | House (ME-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Michaud (D) +34.0 | Actual Michaud (D) +34.9 | Difference 0.9 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24-27 | 240LV | House (ME-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Michaud (D) +10.0 | Actual Michaud (D) +4.0 | Difference 6.0 |
Oct 24-27 | 500LV | Senate (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Collins (R) +19.0 | Actual Collins (R) +16.9 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 24-27 | 500LV | Governor (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Baldacci (D) +21.0 | Actual Baldacci (D) +5.7 | Difference 15.3 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 20-23 | 400LV | President (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +11.0 | Actual Gore (D) +5.1 | Difference 5.9 |
Oct 20-23 | 400LV | Senate (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Snowe (R) +54.0 | Actual Snowe (R) +37.9 | Difference 16.1 |
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