Pollster Ratings - Pan Atlantic Research

Pan Atlantic Research

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	17
Races called correctly	94%
Most recent cycle	2014
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 15-21	207LV	House (ME-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Pingree (D) +43.7	Actual Pingree (D) +29.8	Difference 13.9
Oct 15-21	400LV	Governor (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll LePage (R) +0.6	Actual LePage (R) +4.8	Difference 4.2
Oct 15-21	400LV	Senate (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Collins (R) +39.6	Actual Collins (R) +37.0	Difference 2.6
Oct 15-21	193LV	House (ME-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Cain (D) +1.2	Actual Poliquin (R) +5.2	Difference 6.4

2010

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 25-27	400LV	Governor (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll LePage (R) +6.2	Actual LePage (R) +11.2	Difference 5.0
Oct 11-15	501LV	Governor (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll LePage (R) +18.9	Actual LePage (R) +11.2	Difference 7.7
Oct 11-15	250LV	House (ME-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Michaud (D) +20.0	Actual Michaud (D) +10.3	Difference 9.7
Oct 11-15	250LV	House (ME-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Pingree (D) +16.0	Actual Pingree (D) +13.6	Difference 2.4

2008

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 13-16	207LV	House (ME-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Pingree (D) +11.0	Actual Pingree (D) +9.8	Difference 1.2
Oct 13-16	400LV	Senate (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Collins (R) +21.0	Actual Collins (R) +22.7	Difference 1.7
Oct 13-16	400LV	President (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Obama (D) +12.0	Actual Obama (D) +17.3	Difference 5.3
Oct 13-16	193LV	House (ME-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Michaud (D) +34.0	Actual Michaud (D) +34.9	Difference 0.9

2002

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 24-27	240LV	House (ME-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Michaud (D) +10.0	Actual Michaud (D) +4.0	Difference 6.0
Oct 24-27	500LV	Senate (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Collins (R) +19.0	Actual Collins (R) +16.9	Difference 2.1
Oct 24-27	500LV	Governor (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Baldacci (D) +21.0	Actual Baldacci (D) +5.7	Difference 15.3

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 20-23	400LV	President (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Gore (D) +11.0	Actual Gore (D) +5.1	Difference 5.9
Oct 20-23	400LV	Senate (ME) General election	Live Phone	Poll Snowe (R) +54.0	Actual Snowe (R) +37.9	Difference 16.1

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